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WTIN20 DEMS 060616



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.05.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 06.05.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 06.05.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER ARAKAN COAST AND SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

 

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



 24      24-48     48-72     72-96     96-120      120-144     144-168

HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS       HOURS       HOURS

 NIL      NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL         NIL

     

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL

INDIAN OCEAN. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK

TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL & SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &

COMORIN AREA.

 

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS:



 24      24-48     48-72     72-96     96-120      120-144     144-168

HOURS    HOURS     HOURS     HOURS      HOURS       HOURS       HOURS

 NIL      NIL       NIL       NIL        NIL         NIL         NIL

          

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY

 



REMARKS: NIL.