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WTIN20 DEMS 100631

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 10.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND

THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

10.12.2023

BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 10.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND

ISOLATED

WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL &

NORTH

ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER NORTH &

WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144

HOURS 144-168 HOURS

NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL        NIL          NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:



YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA &

ADJOINING

MALDIVES AREA PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM

ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 10 TH DECEMBER, 2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL & SOUTH ARABIAN SEA, LAKSADWEEP

ISLANDS

AREA AND COMORIN AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER

NORTHWEST & WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24 HOURS 24-48 HOURS 48-72 HOURS 72-96 HOURS 96-120 HOURS 120-144

HOURS 144-168 HOURS

NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL        NIL          NIL

NIL





NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF

NEXT DAY=