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WTIN20 DEMS 150739



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 15.12.2023

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

15.12.2023 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 15.12.2023.

BAY OF BENGAL:

A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL &

ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 15 TH DECEMBER,

2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL &

SOUTH

ANDAMAN SEA AND WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER REST OF

WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BANGAL AND NORTH ANDAMAN SEA.

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS



   NIL        NIL        NIL         NIL         NIL       NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA

& ADJOINING

EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN HAS BECOME UNIMPORTANT FOR OUR REGION AT 0300

UTC

OF TODAY, THE 15 TH DECEMBER, 2023.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ADJOINING CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, COMORIN AREA

&

LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA.

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS

144-168HOURS



   NIL        NIL        NIL         NIL         NIL       NIL

NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=