####018002331#### WTIN20 DEMS 081040 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 08.01.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 08.01.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 08.01.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: YESTERDAY\U2019S TROUGH AT MEAN SEA LEVEL FROM SOUTH SRI LANKA TO WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL OFF SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COAST RUNS FROM SOUTH SRI LANKA TO NORTH COASTAL TAMIL NADU AND EXTENDS UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 8 TH JANUARY, 2024. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING EQUITORIAL INDIAN OCEAN SRILANKA & NEIGHBOURHOOD (MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS -85 0 C). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL & SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS 144-168HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AT 1.5KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTED OVER THE SAME REGION AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 8 TH JANUARY, 2024. YESTERDAY\U2019S TROUGH FROM THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA TO GUJARAT COAST AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 8 TH JANUARY, 2024. BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER COMORIN AREA (MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE IS -80 0 C). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA OFF KARNATAKA-KERALA COASTS & MALDIVES AREA. *PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24HOURS 24-48HOURS 48-72HOURS 72-96HOURS 96-120HOURS 120-144HOURS 144-168HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL *NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY=