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WTIN20 DEMS 090730

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 09.01.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THEBAY OF BENGAL OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600

UTC OF

09.01.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 09.01.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S TROUGH FROM SOUTH SRI LANKA TO NORTH COASTAL TAMIL

NADU

EXTENDED UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED AT

0300UTC

OF TODAY, THE 9



TH JANUARY.



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL, SRI LANKA, PALK

STRAIT & GULF

OF MANNAR (MINIMUM CTT MINUS 83 DEGREE CEL). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS

WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER WESTCENTRAL BAY

OF

BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24       24-48    48-72    72-96   96-120     120-144      144-168

HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS   HOURS       HOURS        HOURS



NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL     NIL         NIL         NIL







*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

YESTERDAY\U2019S CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA LAY

OVER

SOUTHEAST & ADJOINING EASTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN

SEA LEVEL

AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 9



TH JANUARY, 2024. A TROUGH RUN FROM THE CYCLONIC

CIRCULATION TO SOUTH GUJARAT ACROSS NORTHEAST ARABIAN SEA AND

EXTENDED UPTO

1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300UTC OF TODAY, THE 9



TH JANUARY, 2024.



SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO

VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING KERALA

COAST &

COMORIN AREA (MINIMUM CTT MINUS 82 DEG CEL). SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS

WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL

ARABIAN

SEA ADJOINING GOA-KARNATAKA COAST, REST OF SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA,

LAKASHADWEEP ISLAND AREA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH

EMBEDDED

ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL & SOUTHWEST

ARABIAN SEA.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:



24       24-48    48-72    72-96   96-120     120-144      144-168

HOURS    HOURS    HOURS    HOURS   HOURS       HOURS        HOURS



NIL       NIL      NIL      NIL     NIL         NIL         NIL=