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WTIN20 DEMS 230710



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 23.01.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

23.01.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 23.01.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA. SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM

CLOUDS LAY OVER BAY

OF BENGAL



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS



 24    24-48   48-72   72-96   96-120   120-144   144-168

HOURS  HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS

 NIL    NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL        NIL



NOTE EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY





ARABIAN SEA:



YESTERDAYS CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF

NORTH MAHARASHTRA COAST

AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL BECAME LESS MARKED AT 0300 UTC OF

TODAY, 23RD JANUARY 2024.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



24    24-48   48-72   72-96   96-120   120-144   144-168

HOURS  HOURS   HOURS   HOURS    HOURS    HOURS     HOURS

 NIL    NIL     NIL     NIL      NIL      NIL        NIL



NOTE EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY=