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WTIN20 DEMS 160708



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK



DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 16.02.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

16.02.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 16.02.2024.



BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL AND ISOLATED W

EAK TO

MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER W ESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN

SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



  24      24-48   48-72   72-96     96-120    120-144  144-168

 HOURS    HOURS   HOURS   HOURS      HOURS     HOURS    HOURS

  NIL      NIL     NIL     NIL        NIL       NIL      NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY





ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED W EAK TO

MODERATE

CONVECTION LAY OVER CENTRAL & NORTHW EST ARABIAN SEA AND COMORIAN

AREA.

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS LAY OVER SOUTH ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:



  24      24-48   48-72   72-96     96-120    120-144  144-168

 HOURS    HOURS   HOURS   HOURS      HOURS     HOURS    HOURS

  NIL      NIL     NIL     NIL        NIL       NIL      NIL



NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



REMARKS: NIL.=