####018001636#### WTIN20 DEMS 210630 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 21.02.2024 TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF 21.02.2024 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 21.02.2024. BAY OF BENGAL: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER EXTREME SOUTH OF SOUTHW EST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND W EAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER EASTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & NORTH ANDAMAN SEA. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY ARABIAN SEA: SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA AND SOUTH COMORIN AREA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN. PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168 HRS: 24 24-48 48-72 72-96 96-120 120-144 144-168 HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS HOURS NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NIL NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT DAY REMARKS: NIL.=