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WTIN20 DEMS 220600

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 22.02.2024

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL

AND THE

ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF

22.02.2024 BASED ON

0300 UTC OF 22.02.2024.

BAY OF BENGAL:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK

CONVECTION

LAY OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

         24            24-48        48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144  144-168

       HOURS          HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS     HOURS    HOURS

         NIL           NIL          NIL           NIL

NIL       NIL     NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY



ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED MODERATE TO

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 168

HRS:

        24           24-48        48-72          72-96

96-120    120-144  144-168

       HOURS         HOURS         HOURS          HOURS

HOURS     HOURS    HOURS

        NIL           NIL           NIL            NIL

NIL       NIL      NIL

NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

REMARKS: NIL.=