####018001726####
ABPW10 PGTW 050600

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH

PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZMAY2024//

RMKS/

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 6.6S

134.7E, APPROXIMATELY 362 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GOVE AIRPORT,

AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS A

BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ORGANIZED CURVED BANDING

AND EXTENSIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST. OUTFLOW IS

FAVORABLE AND POLEWARD-ENHANCED BY AN UPPER-LEVEL POINT SOURCE ALOFT.

LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND ELEVATED SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES SUPPORT

FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR INTENSIFICATION. A RECENT 042349Z ASCAT-B

IMAGE DEPICTS A BROAD CIRCULATION WITH 20-25KT WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN

SEMICIRCLE AND ENHANCED 25-30KT WINDS IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE

AMPLIFIED BY TOPOGRAPHIC FUNNELING. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATES

THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND TRACK EAST-

NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS

ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS

ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A

SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//

NNNN