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ABPW10 PGTW 060600

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH

PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZMAY2024//

RMKS/

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 91P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR

6.6S 134.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 6.0S 136.7E, APPROXIMATELY 374 NM NORTH

OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY

(MSI) DEPICTS A BROAD LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED

FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE SOUTHWEST. OUTFLOW HAS DEGRADED AND

BECOME MINIMALLY FAVORABLE ALOFT. ELEVATED 20-30KT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR

FROM THE NORTHEAST IS HINDERING DEVELOPMENT. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES

REMAIN FAVORABLE. A 060413Z ATMS 88.2GHZ IMAGE CAPTURED A BROAD

CIRCULATION WITH MINIMAL DEEP CONVECTION TO THE SOUTHWEST. A RECENT

SMAP PASS AT 052058Z DEPICTS A BROAD LLCC WITH 20-25KT WINDS IN THE

SOUTHERN SEMICIRCLE OF THE SYSTEM. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BACKED OFF

OF INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS, INSTEAD DEPICTING A BROAD

AND NEARLY QUASI-STATIONARY CIRCULATION THAT WILL PERSIST OVER WATER.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE

POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN

THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO LOW.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//

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