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ABPW10 PGTW 070600

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND SOUTH

PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAY2024//

RMKS/

1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.

2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):

   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:

      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR

6.0S 136.7E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.5S 137.2E, APPROXIMATELY 405 NM NORTH

OF GOVE AIRPORT, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY

(MSI) AND A 070450Z HIMAWARI-9 IR IMAGE DEPICT A BROAD LOW-LEVEL

CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH ISOLATED FLARING CONVECTION SHEARED TO THE

SOUTHWEST OF THE SYSTEM. UPPER AIR WINDS ARE MINIMALLY FAVORABLE WITH

MODERATE, MOSTLY POLEWARD OUTFLOW. VERTICAL WIND SHEAR FROM THE NORTHEAST

IS HINDERING DEVELOPMENT AT 20-30KT. HOWEVER, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES

REMAIN FAVORABLE AT 28-29C. GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BACKED OFF OF

INTENSIFICATION OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, INSTEAD DEPICTING A BROAD

CIRCULATION THAT WILL MOVE OVER LAND IN THE NEXT DAY OF TWO.  MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA

LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE

DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS

REMAINS LOW.

      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.

   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//

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