####018005996#### AXNT20 KNHC 141747 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1805 UTC Sun Apr 14 2024 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1730 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...CARIBBEAN SEA GALE-FORCE WIND WARNING... Expect for tonight in the coastal waters of Colombia: near gale- force to gale-force NE winds, and rough seas, from 11N to 12N between 74W and 75W. Expect also: elsewhere from 10N to 13N between 73W and 77W strong to near gale-force NE winds, and rough seas; from 11N to 13N between 70W and 72W including in the Gulf of Venezuela fresh to strong NE to E winds, and moderate seas; and in the remainder of the area that is from 10N to 12N between 76W and 79W moderate to fresh winds, and rough seas in NE swell. Please, read the latest High Seas Forecast, at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Sierra Leone near 08N12W, to 04N20W and 03N25W. The ITCZ continues from 03N25W, crossing the Equator along 27W, to the Equator along 35W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 07N southward between 20W and 54W. Numerous strong is from 04N to 07N between 06W and 10W in the coastal plains of Liberia and the Ivory Coast. ...GULF OF MEXICO... A 1023 mb high pressure center is in central Florida near 28N82W. Broad surface moderate to fresh anticyclonic wind flow spans the Gulf of Mexico. Slight to moderate seas are from 90W westward. Moderate seas are in the Straits of Florida. Slight seas are elsewhere in the Gulf of Mexico. High pressure dominates the Gulf basin. Strong winds will pulse off the northwest Yucatan peninsula during the evening the next several days. Otherwise, moderate to fresh winds with slight to moderate seas can be expected through early next week. Winds will become fresh to strong over the western Gulf on Mon night into Tue. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Please, read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about the gale-force wind warning for tonight off the coast of Colombia. A NE-to-SW oriented surface trough is from the coast of Venezuela to 18N between 63W and 65W. Precipitation: isolated moderate is within 240 nm on either side of the surface trough. Moderate to rough seas are from the line 13N at the coast of Nicaragua-14N74W-12N72W southward. Moderate seas are in the rest of the Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds are from 15N southward between 70W and 80W. Moderate to fresh cyclonic wind flow is from 70W eastward. Mostly fresh to some moderate NE winds are from 80W westward. The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 14/1200 UTC, are: 0.43 in Guadeloupe; and 0.09 in San Juan in Puerto Rico. This information is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN. Fresh to strong winds will prevail off the coast of Colombia, pulsing to gale-force tonight with seas to 12 ft. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Windward Passage, S of the Dominican Republic, and in the Lee of Cuba for the next few days. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas can be expected across much of the basin through early next week. Fresh to occasionally strong winds may develop in the Gulf of Honduras mid- week. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front passes through 31N60W, to 27N65W, to 24N70W, to Cuba near 21N76W. Mostly fresh to some strong NE winds are within 120 nm to the north of the cold front, and from 25N southward from 75W westward. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the waters that are from the cold front northwestward. Moderate seas are from the cold front northwestward. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is within 90 nm on either side of the cold front. The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 14/1200 UTC, are: 0.76 in Bermuda. This information is from the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN. A shear line curves through 31N28W 20N30W 19N40W 17N50W 16N60W. Rough seas are from the shear line northward between 37W and 44W. Moderate to rough seas are from 09N northward between 44W and 60W, and from 24N northward between the shear line and 37W. Moderate seas are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. A 1010 mb low pressure center is near 33N32W. Near gale-force or faster northerly winds are from 30N northward between the low pressure center and 40W. Strong northerly winds are elsewhere from 27N northward between 37W and 43W. Fresh to strong anticyclonic wind flow is in the remainder of the area that is from the shear line northward between 36W and 60W. Fresh NE winds are from 20N28W to the shear line and southward between 28W and 60W. Fresh to moderate NE winds are from 20N southward between 25W and 40W. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the rest of the Atlantic Ocean. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered clouds, and isolated moderate, are from the shear line northward. A cold front extends from 31N60W to eastern Cuba. The front will stall and gradually dissipate through Mon. Rough seas accompanying the front will subside today. Large N-NE swell across the SE waters will linger through Mon. Otherwise, high pressure will build in the wake of the front through early next week with more tranquil marine conditions expected. $$ mt/al