Expires:No;;033581 FXUS65 KLKN 192041 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 141 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Fair and warm weather will continue through the upcoming weekend and into early next week. Weather becomes more active mid-week with gusty winds and an opportunity for wetting rain. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday night. Skies are partly to mostly sunny over northern and central Nevada this afternoon. Clouds are increasing in central Nevada due to a weak short wave impulse moving through; an isolated shower or thunderstorm cannot be ruled out during the early evening hours. Not much in the way of precipitation is expected. Have kept low end pops in the forecast based on mid-level moisture profile and minor instability. Look for skies to clear with mostly clear conditions tonight. Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s. For Saturday and Saturday night, a shortwave ridge is expected to push across northern and central Nevada. Some cloudiness is expected though most areas will see a return to partly to mostly sunny skies. Afternoon highs will warm into the upper 60s to mid 70s. Afternoon breezes to 20 mph will be possible. Quiet and clear weather will continue through the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s. Winds will become light. .LONG TERM...Sunday through Friday Warm, dry conditions expected to continue across the CWA through early next week. Winds will be breezy out of the west-northwest Sunday as a weak shortwave and cold front traverses the Great Basin region. Temperatures will range from the 60s across far northern NV to the upper 70s across central NV. An unsettled weather pattern indicated in ensemble guidance will get underway mid next week as a trough advances towards the CA coast and provides favorable upper-level dynamics over the region. By Wednesday, a deformation axis could develop over the state and bring a SW-NE oriented band of showers and thunderstorms. Confidence remains low, however, in terms of precipitation amount and placement. The larger scale troughing pattern across the western U.S. will continue for late next week, bringing more widespread rain and mountain snow to the area. Temperatures are expected to moderate next weekend with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s along with increasing winds. && .AVIATION...Cumulus and a few showers with little to no precipitation or virga are expected today across White Pine county including at KELY. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected for all terminals over the next 24 hour period. Few to scattered upper level clouds will be across the area through Saturday. Breezy winds from the W-NW expected to affect all TAF sites, increasing to 10-15 knots Saturday afternoon. && .HYDROLOGY...Many streams, creeks, and rivers across northern and central Nevada continue to observe elevated flows. Mostly dry conditions are expected through the weekend and into early next week, however temperatures will also trend warmer which will help to accelerate the melting of mid and high elevation snowpack. The Bruneau River is currently in action stage, but may rise to minor flood stage in the coming days. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in action stage and expected to slowly recede over the coming days. The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and expected to gradually rise in the coming days, forecast to reach minor flood stage in the Tuesday timeframe. The Owyhee River near Mountain City is expected to remain in minor flood stage over the next several days. Wildhorse Dam is currently in action stage and is expected to gradually rise, but remain below minor flood stage over the coming days. The Humboldt River at Comus is expected to reach action stage late tonight or Saturday morning. Additional rises are forecast with the river reaching near flood stage as soon as tonight or Saturday morning. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ 86/90/90