Expires:No;;765312
FXUS63 KGID 070539
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1239 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Thunderstorms will exit the area this evening. Despite some scattered
  rain showers, severe thunderstorms are not expected for the 
  remainder of the work week. 

- Seasonal Temperatures to slightly below normal for the
  remainder of the work week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 218 PM CDT Mon May 6 2024

Tonight: 
The line of Thunderstorms will be exiting the forecast area and 
moving into eastern Nebraska by around 7pm today.  Winds will be 
westerly behind the line of convection. Lows tonight will be in the 
40s.  

Tuesday - Thursday: 
The upper trough will be centered across the 
north central part of the CONUS and it will have multiple lobes of 
vorticity rotate around it.  Some of these disturbances could bring 
some scattered showers and thunderstorms, but moisture will be 
pushed out with the activity today. This will keep instability low 
and remove the severe potential.  Highs will be in the 60s to low 
70s.  Westerly winds on Tuesday will keep temps a bit higher due to 
downslope.  

The primary upper low will begin to swing southeast across the area 
Wednesday which will cause winds to become northwesterly behind a 
cold front.  This will drop temperatures a touch for Wednesday and 
Thursday into the lower 60s which is a touch below seasonal norms 
for early May.  

Friday - Monday: 
A piece of the upper low will get cut off over the 
four corners region by Friday.  As pieces of that energy eject 
eastward and another area dives southward just west of the great 
lakes, Nebraska will largely sit mild conditions with small rain 
shower/thunderstorm potential and near seasonal temperatures.  

As we move into the next work week, guidance diverges with how the 
cut-off upper low evolves, however, it does look like 
Nebraska/Kansas will remain under northwesterly flow aloft which 
will likely bring some rain/thunderstorm chances into next week, but 
this doesn't look to be strong to severe at this time.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1233 AM CDT Tue May 7 2024

VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. A few to SCT
high level clouds are possible overnight, clearing during the
daytime hours. High clouds will build back into the area Tuesday
evening and persist through the end of the TAF period. Winds
will stay light and westerly overnight, increasing after
sunrise. Winds will increase throughout the morning hours, with
winds becoming sustained around 20kts and gusting to around
30kts. Winds will decrease around sunset and become light and
southwesterly Tuesday night. 


&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Billings Wright
AVIATION...Davis