Expires:No;;034515 FXPQ60 PGUM 082050 AFDPQ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tiyan GU 650 AM ChST Tue Apr 9 2019 .Marianas Synopsis... Satellite and radar show generally shower and cloud-free conditions across the Marianas with the exception of a few low-level clouds and thin cirrus. A couple altimeter passes over the islands show seas right around 4 feet. && .Discussion... Little change is expected the next couple of weeks as a very dry trade-wind pattern remains entrenched over the Marianas. GFS and ECMWF still show a weak shear line stalling near Anatahan later this week, thus have modified the gridded forecast to indicate higher POPs and cloud cover north of Saipan, but this ultimately has no impact on the local forecasts. Fire danger will continue to climb but winds will remain too weak such that rapidly spreading fires are not expected in the next week or so. Similarly, combined seas will see little change the next week, hovering between 4 and 5 feet into next week. A small north swell will build in later this week. && .Eastern Micronesia... The main feature in Eastern Micronesia is an area of numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms being caused by trade-wind convergence in the low levels and upper-level divergence. It is currently over Kosrae and expected to move slowly westward. As a result, Majuro will not see any increased activity, and this week looks rather dry for them and most of the Republic of the Marshall Islands, except maybe for the southernmost atolls. The showers for Kosrae will peak today. They should trend toward isolated then stay that way for the rest of this week. Meanwhile at Pohnpei, the majority of the showers should pass to the south. At this time, kept the showers isolated, just introduced thunderstorms also at what should be the peak activity. Scattered showers are by no means out of the question though. Winds are expected to stay at or below 20 knots all this week. Seas are expected to be at or below 8 feet. Therefore, other than a possible stray lightning strike, no weather related hazards are foreseen this week in Eastern Micronesia. && .Western Micronesia... The main weather feature in Western Micronesia was a near-equatorial trough, however this has pretty much dissipated over the last 12 to 24 hours. During the second half of the week, Chuuk could get swiped by the north edge of the disturbance currently near Kosrae. Added isolated thunderstorms to the isolated showers, similar to Pohnpei. Koror and Yap should just see isolated showers through the forecast period. Winds are expected to stay at or below 20 knots for Chuuk and 15 knots for Yap and Koror. Seas are expected to stay at or below 7 feet. So, other than the possible odd lightning strike at Chuuk, no weather related hazards are anticipated this week in Western Micronesia. && .GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... GU...None. Marianas Waters...None. && $$ W. Aydlett/Stanko