Expires:202405162100;Remove:202405162100;320418
FPUS74 KEPZ 161759
NOWEPZ

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1159 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024


NMZ401-403>411-414>417-425>429-TXZ418>424-162100-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Central Grant County/Silver City Area-
Southern Gila Region Highlands/Black Range-
West Central Tularosa Basin/White Sands-
East Central Tularosa Basin/Alamogordo-Southeast Tularosa Basin-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Cliff, Buckhorn, Gila Hot Springs, 
Mule Creek, Hurley, Faywood, Grant County Airport, Lordsburg, 
Red Rock, Virden, Antelope Wells, Animas, Hachita, Cloverdale, 
Deming, Columbus, Hillsboro, Winston, Truth Or Consequences, 
Derry, Spaceport, Garfield, Hatch, Radium Springs, Las Cruces, 
Vado, Sunland Park, Mescalero, Timberon, Mountain Park, 
Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Apache Summit, Mayhill, Pinon, Sacramento, 
Crow Flats, Silver City, Mimbres, Fort Bayard, Lake Roberts, 
Kingston, White Sands National Park, Chaparral, 
White Sands Range Headquarters, Alamogordo, Tularosa, 
Holloman AFB, Orogrande, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso, 
Upper Valley, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss, 
Hueco Tanks, Loma Linda, Cornudas, Dell City, Salt Flat, 
Sierra Blanca, Fabens, Fort Hancock, Tornillo, 
and Indian Hot Springs
1159 AM MDT Thu May 16 2024

.NOW...

Scattered thunderstorms have developed along and just east of the
Rio Grande this past hour. Updraft intensity has been very 
difficult to sustain with the lack of separation between 
downdrafts, leading to very brief windows of hail and wind. Most 
thunderstorms around the El Paso Metro will primarily just be 
light to moderate rainfall and occasional lightning. Stronger 
storms will be possible in eastern Otero and Hudspeth Counties 
over the next couple hours. Storm coverage will be hit-and-miss, 
with 30-40% coverage across far west Texas and south-central New 
Mexico.

Thunderstorm development likely began where it did because of 
enhanced upper level support within the center of the upper low 
and weak trough axis extending down the Rio Grande corridor. The 
strongest storms will continue to rely greatly on this disturbance
aloft, with the severe threat shifting east toward southeast New 
Mexico and the Trans-Pecos area by 2PM.

Upper level support will diminish after 4PM today, ending our 
storm threat early this evening. Lingering rain showers may occur 
overnight.

$$

Dennhardt