Expires:No;;878611 FPMY50 PGUM 130822 ZFPMY MICRONESIA AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU 555 PM CHST SAT JUN 13 2009 .EASTERN MICRONESIA... LITTLE CHANGE TO PREVIOUS FORECASTS. TWEAKED FIRST PERIOD OF MAJURO AND KOSRAE TO REFLECT PRESENT CONDITIONS. SURFACE TROUGH AT THE DATE LINE SHOULD REACH MAJURO SUNDAY. KOSRAE IS ON THE FRINGE OF SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS THAT SHOULD BE WEST OF THEM BY LATE TONIGHT WITH CLEARING BY SUNDAY. A TROUGH PASSED THROUGH POHNPEI WITH MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION TO THE SOUTH. SHOWERS COULD BACK-BUILD ON TO POHNPEI TONIGHT DUE TO UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE BUT CONDITIONS WILL PROBABLY BE AT WORST MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. && .WESTERN MICRONESIA... IR IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUDS WITH COLD CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH A SURFACE TROUGH JUST WEST OF CHUUK. THESE CLOUDS ARE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD. SCATTERED SHOWERS THIS EVENING SHOULD BE WEST OF CHUUK BY MIDNIGHT. LONG TERM FOR CHUUK...GENERALLY FAIR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL WITH A WEAK TROUGH ENTERING THE AREA LATE MONDAY. 98W WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWEST ALONG THE MONSOON TROUGH TAKING MUCH OF THE CONVECTIVE FORCING WITH IT. EXPECT A GRADUAL RETURN TO RELATIVELY BENIGN PATTERN FOR YAP AND KOROR AS RIDGING TRIES TO BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHEAST. OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE OVERALL FORECAST FOR KOROR AND YAP. && DEVITA