FGUS53 KMSR 151627 CRFKSJ RIVER FORECAST NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1126 AM CDT WED MAR 15 2023 : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : NOTE... This product includes observed precipitation, plus : forecast precipitation for the next 168 Hours. :----------------------------------------------------------------- : ** TEST ** TEST ** TEST** : :these contingency forecasts multiplied the 7 day QPF by a :factor of five. :----------------------------------------------------------------- : : : Kalamazoo R Marshall MI - MARM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=8.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=6 FT : CREST FORECAST .A MARM4 0318 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 8.1 : .ER MARM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9 .ER MARM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.1/ 5.3/ 6.4 .E1 7.3/ 8.1/ 8.1/ 7.6/ 7.0/ 6.6/ 6.4/ 6.3 .E1 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 6.0/ 5.8/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.4 .E1 5.3/ 5.1/ 4.9/ 4.7/ : : : Battle Creek Battle Creek MI - BCRM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=4.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=3 FT : CREST FORECAST .A BCRM4 0318 Z DH06/DC03151626/HGICXX 3.2 : .ER BCRM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.4 .ER BCRM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.4/ 1.5/ 1.5/ 1.6/ 1.7/ 2.1 .E1 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.0/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.8 .E1 2.8/ 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.5/ 2.4/ 2.3/ 2.2 .E1 2.2/ 2.1/ 2.1/ 2.0/ : : : Kalamazoo R Battle Creek MI - BTCM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=9.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=7 FT .ER BTCM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0 .ER BTCM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.4/ 5.0 .E1 5.7/ 6.2/ 6.6/ 6.9/ 6.9/ 6.9/ 6.8/ 6.7 .E1 6.5/ 6.3/ 6.1/ 5.9/ 5.6/ 5.3/ 5.1/ 4.9 .E1 4.7/ 4.5/ 4.3/ 4.1/ : : : Kalamazoo R Comstock MI - CMSM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=9.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=7 FT : CREST FORECAST .A CMSM4 0320 Z DH12/DC03151626/HGICXX 9.5 : .ER CMSM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3 .ER CMSM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.5/ 5.7/ 6.1 .E1 6.6/ 7.0/ 7.3/ 7.6/ 7.8/ 8.1/ 8.5/ 8.8 .E1 9.1/ 9.3/ 9.4/ 9.5/ 9.4/ 9.3/ 9.2/ 9.0 .E1 8.7/ 8.4/ 8.1/ 7.8/ : : : Kalamazoo R New Richmond MI - RCMM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=17.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=15 FT : CREST FORECAST .A RCMM4 0318 Z DH12/DC03151626/HGICXX 17.7 : : CREST FORECAST .A RCMM4 0319 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGICXX 18.4 : .ER RCMM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 13.7/ 13.6/ 13.5/ 13.5 .ER RCMM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 13.4/ 13.4/ 13.5/ 13.5/ 13.7/ 13.9/ 14.0/ 14.4 .E1 15.4/ 16.5/ 17.3/ 17.7/ 17.6/ 17.5/ 17.7/ 18.1 .E1 18.4/ 18.4/ 18.4/ 18.3/ 18.2/ 18.2/ 17.9/ 17.2 .E1 16.9/ 16.8/ 16.8/ 16.8/ : : : St. Joseph R Burlington MI - BURM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=6.5 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=6 FT : CREST FORECAST .A BURM4 0321 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 6.8 : .ER BURM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.7/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.6 .ER BURM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.7/ 5.8/ 5.9 .E1 6.0/ 6.1/ 6.2/ 6.3/ 6.4/ 6.5/ 6.5/ 6.6 .E1 6.6/ 6.7/ 6.7/ 6.7/ 6.7/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8 .E1 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8/ : : : Portage R Vicksburg MI - VCKM4 : HSA=GRR Flood Stage=5.5 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=5 FT : CREST FORECAST .A VCKM4 0318 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 5.5 : .ER VCKM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.2/ 4.2/ 4.1/ 4.1 .ER VCKM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.1/ 4.2/ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.3/ 4.4/ 4.7/ 5.1 .E1 5.3/ 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.2 .E1 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.8 .E1 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.7/ : : : St. Joseph R Three Rivers MI - TRVM4 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=7.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=6 FT : CREST FORECAST .A TRVM4 0321 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 9.3 : .ER TRVM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.6/ 6.6/ 6.4/ 6.4 .ER TRVM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.4/ 6.3/ 6.3/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.3/ 6.4 .E1 6.6/ 6.8/ 7.1/ 7.4/ 7.8/ 8.1/ 8.5/ 8.7 .E1 8.8/ 8.9/ 9.0/ 9.1/ 9.2/ 9.3/ 9.3/ 9.3 .E1 9.3/ 9.3/ 9.3/ 9.2/ : : : St. Joseph R Mottville MI - MOTM4 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=8.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=7 FT : CREST FORECAST .A MOTM4 0321 Z DH06/DC03151626/HGICXX 8.8 : .ER MOTM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.0/ 6.0/ 6.1/ 6.0 .ER MOTM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.0/ 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.9/ 5.8/ 5.8/ 5.9/ 6.0 .E1 6.3/ 6.5/ 6.8/ 7.0/ 7.3/ 7.6/ 7.9/ 8.1 .E1 8.3/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.6/ 8.7/ 8.7/ 8.8/ 8.8 .E1 8.8/ 8.8/ 8.8/ 8.7/ : : : N Br Elkhart R Cosperville IN - CPEI3 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=6.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=5 FT : CREST FORECAST .A CPEI3 0319 Z DH12/DC03151626/HGICXX 8.2 : .ER CPEI3 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.2/ 6.2 .ER CPEI3 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.2/ 6.5 .E1 6.8/ 7.1/ 7.4/ 7.7/ 7.8/ 8.0/ 8.1/ 8.2 .E1 8.2/ 8.2/ 8.1/ 8.0/ 7.9/ 7.8/ 7.6/ 7.5 .E1 7.3/ 7.2/ 7.1/ 7.1/ : : : Elkhart River Goshen IN - GSHI3 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=7.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=6 FT : CREST FORECAST .A GSHI3 0319 Z DH06/DC03151626/HGICXX 11.9 : .ER GSHI3 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.0/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9 .ER GSHI3 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.8/ 5.2/ 5.8 .E1 6.7/ 7.6/ 8.5/ 9.7/ 10.8/ 11.6/ 11.9/ 11.7 .E1 11.4/ 10.9/ 10.2/ 9.5/ 8.8/ 8.2/ 7.7/ 7.3 .E1 7.0/ 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.3/ : : : St. Joseph R Elkhart IN - EKMI3 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=24.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=23 FT : CREST FORECAST .A EKMI3 0320 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 27.1 : .ER EKMI3 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 22.3/ 22.3/ 22.3/ 22.2 .ER EKMI3 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 22.2/ 22.2/ 22.1/ 22.1/ 22.1/ 22.1/ 22.3/ 22.6 .E1 23.1/ 23.7/ 24.3/ 24.9/ 25.4/ 25.9/ 26.3/ 26.7 .E1 27.0/ 27.1/ 27.1/ 27.1/ 27.0/ 26.9/ 26.7/ 26.6 .E1 26.5/ 26.3/ 26.2/ 26.0/ : : : St. Joseph R South Bend IN - SBNI3 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=5.5 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=4.5 FT : CREST FORECAST .A SBNI3 0320 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 9.7 : .ER SBNI3 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.7/ 4.6/ 4.4/ 4.4 .ER SBNI3 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.4/ 4.3/ 4.3/ 4.3/ 4.2/ 4.3/ 4.6/ 5.3 .E1 6.1/ 6.7/ 7.2/ 7.8/ 8.5/ 8.9/ 9.2/ 9.4 .E1 9.6/ 9.7/ 9.6/ 9.4/ 9.3/ 9.2/ 9.0/ 8.9 .E1 8.8/ 8.6/ 8.5/ 8.3/ : : : St. Joseph R Niles MI - NILM4 : HSA=IWX Flood Stage=11.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=7.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A NILM4 0320 Z DH00/DC03151626/HGICXX 15.5 : .ER NILM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 9.5/ 9.4/ 9.3/ 9.2 .ER NILM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151626/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 9.2/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.0/ 9.0/ 9.1/ 9.6 .E1 10.4/ 11.4/ 12.2/ 12.8/ 13.5/ 14.2/ 14.8/ 15.1 .E1 15.3/ 15.5/ 15.5/ 15.3/ 15.1/ 14.9/ 14.7/ 14.5 .E1 14.4/ 14.2/ 14.0/ 13.8/ : : :END $$ FCSTR EXT: 2538