FGUS53 KMSR 151609 CRFMEC RIVER FORECAST NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1107 AM CDT WED MAR 15 2023 : ------------------------------------------------------------ : !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! TEST TEST TEST !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! : This is a test of the contingency system. *THESE ARE NOT : ACTUAL FORECASTS FOR THE MERAMEC RIVER*. This represents : an artificial contingency in which rainfall was forced to : be three times the QPF, temperatures were artificially increased, : and several other forecaster modifications designed to test : the system were conducted. THIS SPECIFIC TEST DOES NOT REFLECT : REALITY OR ANY PLAUSIBLE SCENARIO FOR RIVER BEHAVIOR AT : THIS TIME. : !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! TEST TEST TEST !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! : : ------------------------------------------------------------ : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : NOTE... This product includes observed precipitation, plus : forecast precipitation for the next 168 Hours. : : : Meramec River Steelville MO - SEEM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=12.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=10.0 FT : : CREST FORECAST .A SEEM7 0318 Z DH06/DC03151607/HGICXX 11.1 : .ER SEEM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.6 .ER SEEM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.5/ 2.5/ 2.6/ 4.0/ 5.3 .E1 7.1/ 9.7/ 11.1/ 10.9/ 10.6/ 10.0/ 8.7/ 7.8 .E1 7.1/ 6.5/ 6.0/ 5.6/ 5.3/ 5.0/ 4.7/ 4.5 .E1 4.4/ 4.2/ 4.0/ 3.9/ 3.7/ 3.5/ 3.3/ 3.2 .E1 3.2/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 2.9 .E1 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.8/ 2.7 .E1 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.7/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6/ 2.6 : : : : Meramec River Sullivan MO - SLLM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=11.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=9.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A SLLM7 0318 Z DH12/DC03151607/HGICXX 14.0 : .ER SLLM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7 .ER SLLM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.7/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.6/ 5.7/ 7.4 .E1 9.3/ 11.6/ 13.3/ 14.0/ 14.0/ 13.4/ 12.4/ 11.4 .E1 10.4/ 9.5/ 8.8/ 8.3/ 7.9/ 7.6/ 7.3/ 7.1 .E1 6.9/ 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.3/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 5.8/ 5.7 .E1 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.2/ 5.1 .E1 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.8/ 4.8 .E1 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.7/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.5 : : : : Bourbeuse River Union MO - UNNM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=15.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=13.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A UNNM7 0319 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGICXX 14.7 : .ER UNNM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.3 .ER UNNM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.2/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.3/ 4.9/ 5.9 .E1 5.8/ 6.6/ 7.7/ 8.9/ 10.3/ 12.2/ 13.6/ 14.4 .E1 14.7/ 14.3/ 13.1/ 11.3/ 9.4/ 7.8/ 6.5/ 5.6 .E1 5.0/ 4.6/ 4.3/ 4.1/ 3.9/ 3.8/ 3.7/ 3.6 .E1 3.5/ 3.5/ 3.4/ 3.4/ 3.3/ 3.3/ 3.2/ 3.2 .E1 3.2/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.1/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.0 .E1 3.0/ 3.0/ 3.0/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.9/ 2.9 : : : : Meramec River Pacific MO - PCFM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=15.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=13.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A PCFM7 0320 Z DH12/DC03151607/HGICXX 14.4 : .ER PCFM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 1.5/ 1.4/ 1.3/ 1.3 .ER PCFM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.5/ 2.6 .E1 4.3/ 5.4/ 6.2/ 6.7/ 7.4/ 8.3/ 9.6/ 11.0 .E1 12.3/ 13.4/ 14.1/ 14.4/ 14.1/ 13.4/ 12.4/ 11.2 .E1 9.7/ 8.3/ 7.1/ 6.3/ 5.6/ 5.0/ 4.6/ 4.2 .E1 3.9/ 3.6/ 3.3/ 3.1/ 2.8/ 2.6/ 2.4/ 2.3 .E1 2.1/ 2.0/ 1.9/ 1.8/ 1.7/ 1.6/ 1.5/ 1.4 .E1 1.4/ 1.3/ 1.2/ 1.2/ 1.1/ 1.1/ 1.0/ 0.9 : : : : Big River Byrnesville MO - BYRM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=16.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=13.0 FT : CREST FORECAST .A BYRM7 0319 Z DH00/DC03151607/HGICXX 17.4 : .ER BYRM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.5/ 4.5/ 4.4/ 4.4 .ER BYRM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.2/ 4.1/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.0/ 4.1/ 7.1/ 9.4 .E1 9.9/ 10.8/ 12.7/ 15.3/ 17.0/ 17.4/ 16.9/ 15.5 .E1 13.5/ 11.8/ 10.5/ 9.5/ 8.8/ 8.2/ 7.8/ 7.4 .E1 7.0/ 6.8/ 6.5/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.8 .E1 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.2 .E1 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.7 .E1 4.6/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.5/ 4.4/ 4.4/ 4.3/ 4.3 : : : : Meramec River Eureka MO - ERKM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=19.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=17.0 FT .ER ERKM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.2/ 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.1 .ER ERKM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.1/ 5.9/ 7.5 .E1 9.0/ 10.0/ 11.0/ 12.2/ 13.5/ 14.4/ 15.1/ 15.6 .E1 15.6/ 15.7/ 16.0/ 16.4/ 16.5/ 16.2/ 15.6/ 14.7 .E1 13.4/ 11.9/ 10.6/ 9.7/ 9.1/ 8.6/ 8.2/ 7.9 .E1 7.6/ 7.4/ 7.2/ 7.0/ 6.8/ 6.6/ 6.4/ 6.3 .E1 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 5.9/ 5.8/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.6 .E1 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.2/ 5.1 : : : : Meramec River Valley Park MO - VLLM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=18.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=11.0 FT .ER VLLM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 1.1/ 1.0/ 0.9/ 0.9 .ER VLLM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 0.8/ 0.7/ 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.6/ 0.7/ 1.9/ 3.6 .E1 5.1/ 6.5/ 7.8/ 8.9/ 10.0/ 11.2/ 12.5/ 13.2 .E1 13.6/ 13.7/ 13.9/ 14.1/ 14.4/ 14.5/ 14.2/ 13.6 .E1 12.6/ 11.1/ 9.7/ 8.3/ 7.2/ 6.3/ 5.7/ 5.1 .E1 4.6/ 4.2/ 3.9/ 3.6/ 3.3/ 3.0/ 2.8/ 2.6 .E1 2.4/ 2.2/ 2.0/ 1.9/ 1.8/ 1.6/ 1.5/ 1.4 .E1 1.3/ 1.2/ 1.1/ 1.0/ 1.0/ 0.9/ 0.8/ 0.7 : : : : Meramec River Fenton - FNNM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=23.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=22.0 FT .ER FNNM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.6/ 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.4 .ER FNNM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.3/ 5.2/ 5.2/ 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.2/ 6.3 .E1 8.1/ 9.5/ 11.0/ 12.2/ 13.3/ 14.5/ 15.6/ 16.9 .E1 17.6/ 18.0/ 18.2/ 18.3/ 18.5/ 18.8/ 18.9/ 18.6 .E1 18.0/ 17.1/ 15.5/ 14.1/ 12.8/ 11.6/ 10.8/ 10.1 .E1 9.6/ 9.1/ 8.7/ 8.3/ 8.0/ 7.8/ 7.5/ 7.3 .E1 7.0/ 6.8/ 6.7/ 6.5/ 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0 .E1 5.9/ 5.8/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.5/ 5.4/ 5.3/ 5.3 : : : : Meramec River Arnold MO - ARNM7 : HSA=LSX Flood Stage=24.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=22.0 FT .ER ARNM7 0314 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 11.1/ 11.0/ 10.9/ 10.7 .ER ARNM7 0315 Z DH18/DC03151607/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 10.6/ 10.5/ 10.4/ 10.3/ 10.2/ 10.2/ 10.5/ 10.9 .E1 11.3/ 11.8/ 12.2/ 12.6/ 13.4/ 14.2/ 15.0/ 15.8 .E1 16.4/ 16.8/ 17.0/ 17.1/ 17.2/ 17.3/ 17.3/ 17.0 .E1 16.5/ 15.7/ 14.6/ 13.5/ 12.6/ 11.9/ 11.4/ 11.0 .E1 10.7/ 10.5/ 10.3/ 10.1/ 9.9/ 9.7/ 9.5/ 9.4 .E1 9.2/ 9.1/ 9.0/ 8.9/ 8.9/ 8.8/ 8.7/ 8.7 .E1 8.6/ 8.6/ 8.5/ 8.5/ 8.4/ 8.4/ 8.4/ 8.3 : : : :END $$ FCSTR EXT: 2530