FGUS53 KMSR 151700 CRFSMS RIVER FORECAST NWS NORTH CENTRAL RIVER FORECAST CENTER TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1158 AM CDT WED MAR 15 2023 : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION. : REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST. : : CONTINGENCY 168 Hour QPF CONTINGENCY : NOTE... This product includes observed precipitation, plus : forecast precipitation for the next 168 Hours. : ------------------------------------------------------------ : ** TEST ** TEST ** TEST ** : These contingency forecasts include melting all SWE a x4 : the rate through 3/18/23. These are not expected forecasts. : ------------------------------------------------------------ : : Black R Jeddo, MI - FGOM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=M FT Fcst Issuance Stage=8.0 FT .ER FGOM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.0/ 4.0/ 3.9/ 3.9 .ER FGOM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 3.6/ 3.4/ 3.8/ 4.3/ 4.9/ 5.5/ 6.3/ 7.2 .E1 8.1/ 9.1/ 9.9/ 10.4/ 10.7/ 10.6/ 10.5/ 10.2 .E1 9.8/ 9.3/ 8.8/ 8.2/ 7.7/ 7.2/ 6.7/ 6.3 .E1 6.0/ 5.8/ 5.6/ 5.5/ : : : Mill Cr Avoca, MI - AVOM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=M FT Fcst Issuance Stage=6.0 FT .ER AVOM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.7/ 1.6 .ER AVOM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 1.6/ 1.6/ 1.9/ 2.2/ 2.6/ 3.0/ 3.4/ 3.7 .E1 4.1/ 4.6/ 5.0/ 5.3/ 5.6/ 5.7/ 5.8/ 5.7 .E1 5.6/ 5.5/ 5.3/ 5.1/ 4.8/ 4.6/ 4.4/ 4.1 .E1 3.9/ 3.6/ 3.4/ 3.2/ : : : Clinton R Clinton Township, MI - FSRM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=16.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=14.0 FT .ER FSRM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 7.8/ 7.7/ 7.6/ 7.6 .ER FSRM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 7.8/ 9.4/ 10.3/ 10.6/ 10.0/ 9.7/ 10.0/ 11.1 .E1 11.8/ 11.9/ 11.4/ 11.0/ 10.7/ 10.5/ 10.3/ 10.1 .E1 9.9/ 9.7/ 9.6/ 9.5/ 9.3/ 9.2/ 9.1/ 9.0 .E1 8.9/ 8.9/ 8.8/ 8.7/ : : : N Br Clinton R Mt. Clemens 2N, MI - MCLM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=15.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=13.0 FT .ER MCLM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.3/ 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0 .ER MCLM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.9/ 6.0/ 6.2/ 6.6/ 7.1/ 7.9/ 8.8/ 9.6 .E1 10.0/ 10.3/ 10.4/ 10.6/ 10.8/ 10.9/ 10.9/ 10.8 .E1 10.6/ 10.4/ 10.2/ 9.9/ 9.6/ 9.2/ 8.8/ 8.5 .E1 8.1/ 7.8/ 7.6/ 7.4/ : : : Clinton R Mt. Clemens, MI - MTCM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=16.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=14.0 FT .ER MTCM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.2/ 6.1/ 6.0/ 6.0 .ER MTCM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.1/ 6.9/ 7.2/ 7.4/ 7.3/ 7.3/ 7.5/ 8.3 .E1 9.0/ 9.3/ 9.1/ 9.0/ 8.9/ 8.8/ 8.7/ 8.5 .E1 8.3/ 8.1/ 7.9/ 7.7/ 7.5/ 7.4/ 7.3/ 7.2 .E1 7.1/ 7.1/ 7.0/ 7.0/ : : : Rouge R Detroit, MI - DETM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=15.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=13.0 FT .ER DETM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 6.9/ 6.8/ 6.7/ 6.6 .ER DETM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.7/ 7.1/ 8.6/ 10.3/ 10.5/ 9.9/ 9.5/ 9.9 .E1 10.9/ 11.6/ 11.6/ 11.1/ 10.5/ 9.9/ 9.5/ 9.1 .E1 8.8/ 8.5/ 8.2/ 8.0/ 7.8/ 7.6/ 7.5/ 7.3 .E1 7.2/ 7.1/ 7.0/ 6.9/ : : : Middle Rouge R Garden City, MI - GACM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=10.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=10.0 FT .ER GACM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.4/ 4.3 .ER GACM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.4/ 5.2/ 5.8/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.1/ 6.4/ 6.8 .E1 7.2/ 7.4/ 7.3/ 7.1/ 6.9/ 6.7/ 6.4/ 6.2 .E1 6.0/ 5.7/ 5.5/ 5.3/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 4.9/ 4.7 .E1 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.5/ 4.4/ : : : Lower Rouge R Dearborn, MI - DLRM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=11.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=9.0 FT .ER DLRM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 4.5/ 4.5/ 4.3/ 4.3 .ER DLRM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 4.4/ 4.9/ 5.4/ 5.9/ 6.0/ 5.7/ 5.6/ 5.9 .E1 6.4/ 6.6/ 6.6/ 6.3/ 5.9/ 5.6/ 5.4/ 5.2 .E1 5.1/ 4.9/ 4.8/ 4.7/ 4.6/ 4.5/ 4.4/ 4.4 .E1 4.3/ 4.2/ 4.2/ 4.1/ : : : Mill Cr Dexter, MI (Mill Cr) - DEXM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=12.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=10.0 FT .ER DEXM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 7.7/ 7.6/ 7.6/ 7.5 .ER DEXM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 7.5/ 7.7/ 7.9/ 8.2/ 8.4/ 8.6/ 8.7/ 8.8 .E1 8.9/ 9.0/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.0/ 8.9 .E1 8.8/ 8.7/ 8.6/ 8.5/ 8.4/ 8.3/ 8.2/ 8.1 .E1 8.0/ 7.9/ 7.9/ 7.8/ : : : Huron R Hamburg, MI - HMGM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=7.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=6.5 FT .ER HMGM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.0/ 5.0 .ER HMGM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.0/ 5.1 .E1 5.1/ 5.1/ 5.2/ 5.2/ 5.3/ 5.3/ 5.4/ 5.4 .E1 5.5/ 5.5/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6 .E1 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ 5.6/ : : : Huron R Ann Arbor, MI - ANNM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=16.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=14.0 FT .ER ANNM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 13.6/ 13.6/ 13.6/ 13.5 .ER ANNM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 13.5/ 13.5/ 13.6/ 13.8/ 13.8/ 13.9/ 13.9/ 13.9 .E1 14.0/ 14.0/ 14.1/ 14.1/ 14.1/ 14.1/ 14.0/ 14.0 .E1 14.0/ 14.0/ 14.0/ 13.9/ 13.9/ 13.9/ 13.9/ 13.9 .E1 13.8/ 13.8/ 13.8/ 13.8/ : : : Raisin R Tecumseh, MI - TECM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=13.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=11.0 FT .ER TECM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 8.4/ 8.4/ 8.3/ 8.3 .ER TECM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 8.2/ 8.3/ 8.3/ 8.4/ 8.6/ 8.8/ 9.0/ 9.0 .E1 9.1/ 9.1/ 9.2/ 9.2/ 9.2/ 9.2/ 9.2/ 9.1 .E1 9.1/ 9.0/ 9.0/ 8.9/ 8.8/ 8.7/ 8.7/ 8.6 .E1 8.5/ 8.4/ 8.4/ 8.3/ : : : Raisin R Adrian, MI - ADRM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=18.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=13.0 FT .ER ADRM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 10.0/ 9.9/ 9.8/ 9.7 .ER ADRM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 9.6/ 9.5/ 9.6/ 9.7/ 9.8/ 10.1/ 10.5/ 10.8 .E1 11.0/ 11.2/ 11.3/ 11.4/ 11.4/ 11.5/ 11.5/ 11.4 .E1 11.4/ 11.3/ 11.2/ 11.1/ 11.0/ 10.9/ 10.7/ 10.5 .E1 10.3/ 10.1/ 9.9/ 9.8/ : : : Raisin R Blissfield, MI - BLIM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=683.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=681.0 FT .ER BLIM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 679.6/ 679.6/ 679.5/ 679.4 .ER BLIM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 679.2/ 679.2/ 679.2/ 679.2/ 679.3/ 679.5/ 679.7/ 680.0 .E1 680.3/ 680.6/ 680.8/ 680.9/ 681.0/ 681.1/ 681.2/ 681.2 .E1 681.1/ 681.0/ 680.9/ 680.8/ 680.6/ 680.4/ 680.3/ 680.1 .E1 679.9/ 679.7/ 679.6/ 679.4/ : : : Raisin R Dundee, MI - DNDM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=650.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=648.0 FT .ER DNDM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 643.3/ 643.3/ 643.2/ 643.1 .ER DNDM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 643.0/ 643.0/ 643.0/ 643.1/ 643.1/ 643.1/ 643.1/ 643.3 .E1 643.5/ 643.7/ 643.9/ 644.2/ 644.4/ 644.6/ 644.8/ 644.9 .E1 645.0/ 645.0/ 644.9/ 644.8/ 644.7/ 644.6/ 644.4/ 644.2 .E1 644.0/ 643.9/ 643.7/ 643.5/ : : : Raisin R Monroe, MI - MONM4 : HSA=DTX Flood Stage=9.0 FT Fcst Issuance Stage=8.0 FT .ER MONM4 0314 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIP/DIH06 :6-Hr Obs Stage (ft) .E1 7.0/ 6.9/ 6.9/ 6.8 .ER MONM4 0315 Z DH18/DC03151658/HGIC3/DIH06 :6-Hr Fcst Stage (ft) .E1 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.8/ 6.9/ 6.9/ 7.0/ 7.0 .E1 7.1/ 7.2/ 7.2/ 7.3/ 7.3/ 7.4/ 7.4/ 7.4 .E1 7.4/ 7.4/ 7.4/ 7.4/ 7.4/ 7.3/ 7.3/ 7.2 .E1 7.2/ 7.1/ 7.1/ 7.0/ : : :END $$ FCSTR EXT: 2572