FNUS52 KILM 131856 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 256 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 .DISCUSSION... A broad storm system will affect the area through mid week. Dry conditions are expected by late week followed by another unsettled period next weekend. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-141100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 256 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 80 70 60 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 63 77 65 84 Max/Min RH (%) 98 80 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 SE 7 G21 S 8 G20 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 SE 11 G24 SW 6 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.11 0.65 0.21 0.06 Precip Duration 1 11 5 4 Precip Begin 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0900 1900 68/0600 Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2400 5600 Transport Wind (mph) SE 26 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 62400 112000 ADI Early 41 Gen Good 37 Fair 36 Fair 58 Gen Good ADI Late 13 Gen Poor 51 Gen Good 10 Poor 66 Good Max LVORI Early 4 6 5 8 Max LVORI Late 5 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Rain Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 2 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability C D D C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-141100- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 256 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 80 70 80 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 63 77 66 83 Max/Min RH (%) 100 79 100 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 SE 6 S 6 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 9 G18 SW 5 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.14 0.49 0.28 0.09 Precip Duration 1 11 5 6 Precip Begin 10 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 67/0900 2000 68/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 4900 Transport Wind (mph) SE 22 W 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55000 88200 ADI Early 58 Gen Good 33 Fair 38 Fair 48 Gen Good ADI Late 11 Poor 47 Gen Good 8 Poor 59 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 4 7 8 8 Max LVORI Late 6 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Rain Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 3 Rain 7 Turner Stability D D D C Remarks...Brotak Profile Present. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-141100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 256 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 80 60 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 63 77 66 85 Max/Min RH (%) 99 81 100 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 SE 6 G18 S 6 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 G18 SW 6 SW 10 G17 Precip Amount 0.14 0.68 0.21 0.02 Precip Duration 2 10 5 2 Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 68/0800 1900 68/0600 Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2200 5500 Transport Wind (mph) SE 21 W 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46200 110000 ADI Early 35 Fair 37 Fair 34 Fair 53 Gen Good ADI Late 11 Poor 37 Fair 10 Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 8 8 Max LVORI Late 6 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 3 Rain Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain Turner Stability D D D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. West winds 10 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-141100- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 256 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 80 70 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 62 78 65 83 Max/Min RH (%) 100 79 100 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 S 4 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 SW 5 SW 10 G19 Precip Amount 0.12 0.40 0.21 0.02 Precip Duration 3 10 5 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 67/0900 2000 67/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2500 5800 Transport Wind (mph) S 16 W 21 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 121800 ADI Early 42 Gen Good 36 Fair 38 Fair 52 Gen Good ADI Late 10 Poor 40 Fair 8 Poor 77 Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 8 8 Max LVORI Late 7 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 3 Rain Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 3 Rain 7 Turner Stability D D D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-141100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 256 PM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Cloudy Cloudy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 80 70 70 Precip Type Showers Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 63 75 65 82 Max/Min RH (%) 100 83 100 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SE 6 S 5 SW 6 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 8 G17 SW 5 SW 10 G18 Precip Amount 0.14 0.46 0.45 0.05 Precip Duration 3 10 5 5 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 67/0900 1900 67/0600 Dispersion Poor Fair Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 1 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 2600 4900 Transport Wind (mph) SE 20 W 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52000 88200 ADI Early 24 Fair 34 Fair 28 Fair 45 Gen Good ADI Late 10 Poor 42 Gen Good 7 Poor 53 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 8 8 Max LVORI Late 7 4 8 3 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 3 Rain Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 3 Rain 7 Turner Stability C D D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...21