FNUS73 KAPX 101500 FWSAPX Spot Forecast for North Fork...MIDNR National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1100 AM EDT Fri May 10 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1700 EDT on May 10. If conditions become unrepresentative... contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (989)732-9306, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected this afternoon. A sprinkle or isolated shower can't be ruled out. A light west breeze develops this afternoon, becoming southwest this evening. Humidity levels will bottom out in the mid 30s percent this afternoon. Showers are likely later tonight into Saturday morning, possibly even lingering into the afternoon. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers. Max temperature.....Around 65. Min humidity........35 percent. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 6 mph. Transport winds.....West around 12 mph. Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Excellent (833.0). TIME (EDT) 5PM Sky (%).........46 Weather cov.....SCH Weather type....RW Tstm cov........ Temp............63 RH..............35 20 ft wind dir..W 20 ft wind spd..7 20 ft wind gust.13 Mix hgt (kft)...7.2 Haines index....4 Transp wind dir.W Transp wind spd.12 Vrate kt-ft.....833 Ventrate Cat....EXL .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the evening. Rain showers likely overnight. Min temperature.....Around 41. Max humidity........100 percent. 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening becoming light. Transport winds.....West 5 to 13 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to 8 mph overnight. Mixing height.......6000-6800 ft AGL decreasing to 500-900 ft AGL. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Excellent (761.0) decreasing to poor to fair (21.0-259.0) early in the evening. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........43 40 37 48 60 71 71 72 72 72 72 73 Weather cov.....SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Temp............61 60 59 56 53 49 49 48 47 46 45 42 RH..............39 41 42 51 59 74 74 77 83 86 89 100 20 ft wind dir..W W W SW SW SW S S S S S S 20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 20 ft wind gust.13 13 13 8 8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12 Mix hgt (kft)...6.8 6.0 2.5 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 0.8 Haines index....4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Transp wind dir.W W W W W SW SW S S SW W SW Transp wind spd.13 13 10 8 6 6 5 6 8 8 7 6 Vrate kt-ft.....864 761 259 106 44 33 21 27 40 53 59 45 Ventrate Cat....EXL EXL FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers likely early in the morning, then chance of rain showers early in the morning. Max temperature.....Around 58. Min humidity........48 percent. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming north 5 to 8 mph late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Transport winds.....West around 7 mph shifting to the north 7 to 15 mph early in the morning, then increasing to 17 to 18 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......900-2500 ft AGL increasing to 2900-3300 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Ventilation index...Poor to good (60.0-492.0) increasing to good (565.0) late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........73 74 74 75 75 74 Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Temp............42 43 48 51 55 57 RH..............100 100 79 65 52 48 20 ft wind dir..SW SW NW NW NW NW 20 ft wind spd..3 3 7 10 10 10 20 ft wind gust.10 10 12 16 16 17 Mix hgt (ft)....900 1200 1800 2100 2900 3300 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 Transport wind..W 7 NW 7 N 10 N 13 N 14 N 17 Vrate kt-ft.....61 80 184 265 405 565 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR FAIR FAIR GOOD GOOD $$ Forecaster...AJS Requested by...Nate Stearns Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413697.0/APX .DELDT 05/10/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL stearnsn@michigan.gov