FNUS73 KBIS 111247 FWSBIS Spot Forecast for Krueger Blackline...USFWS National Weather Service Bismarck ND 747 AM CDT Mon Mar 11 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on March 11. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Expect dry weather with increasing clouds at the burn site. Winds will actually be the strongest around ignition time, out of the south up to 11 mph. Winds will decrease gradually through the afternoon, shifting to out of the northwest late. The temperature forecast today is going to greatly depend on how cloud cover evolves. For now, the high is forecast to be around 56 but if there are fewer clouds than anticipated, that could be on the lower side. Afternoon humidity will dip into the mid to upper 30 percent range. Clouds may decrease a bit overnight before settling back in late tomorrow. Lows will dip into the lower 30s and humidity should recover to around 82 percent. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 56. Min humidity........38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 11 mph shifting to the northwest around 9 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 17 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 17 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (41900 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 to 6 or moderate to high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........40 54 71 78 74 67 66 64 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............40 46 50 53 55 56 56 55 RH..............65 58 52 46 40 38 38 41 20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW W NW NW NW 20 FT wind spd..9 11 11 9 8 9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.14 17 15 13 12 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.7 2.8 Transp wind dir.S S SW SW W NW NW NW Transp wind spd.16 17 16 14 15 16 16 17 Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 Dispr kt-ft/1K..6 8 13 16 24 32 37 42 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly cloudy. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 31. Max humidity........82 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening and overnight becoming light. Mixing height.......300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 17 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (40200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2400 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........77 74 52 43 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............54 43 37 35 RH..............43 65 75 75 20 FT wind......NW 9G13 NW 6G10 NW 5G9 NW 4G5 Mix hgt (ft)....2700 400 300 300 Transport wind..NW 17 NW 12 N 10 NW 9 Haines index....4 4 5 5 Dispr kt-ft/1K..40 4 3 3 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny with increasing clouds late. CWR.................0 percent. Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 55. Min humidity........38 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 8 mph shifting to the east around 5 mph late in the morning, then increasing to 5 to 9 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........33 32 41 47 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............32 33 48 55 RH..............78 82 54 39 20 FT wind......NW 2G4 N 0G2 N 0G2 N 0G1 Mix hgt (ft)....300 300 1300 3400 Transport wind..NW 8 NW 6 E 5 E 7 Haines index....5 5 5 4 Dispr kt-ft/1K..2 1 5 20 $$ Forecaster...HARGROVE Requested by...Dustin Mireles Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2406135.0/BIS .DELDT 03/11/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Dustin_mireles@fws.gov