FNUS73 KJKL 231453 FWSJKL Spot Forecast for STR - Lick Creek...USFS National Weather Service Jackson KY 1053 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 EDT on April 23. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...Southwest winds will increase through the afternoon at around 9 to 12 mph with gusts around 15 to 20 mph. This will mix down dry air with RH values dropping to around 25 percent between 2 PM and 6 PM this afternoon. RH values will recover some tonight and especially late tonight with a cold front bringing rain showers. However, this rain shower activity will be light, with only around a tenth of an inch or less expected. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 72. Min humidity........22 percent. Dewpoint............32. Max apparent temp...72. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 12 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph. Vent Rate...........Fair (44200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (55400 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (114500 knot-ft). LVORI...............1. ADI.................60 early in the morning increasing to 106 in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........4 13 24 24 22 33 42 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............60 63 65 68 70 72 71 Dewpoint........31 31 31 31 32 33 33 RH..............33 30 28 25 24 24 25 Aparnt tmp (F)..60 63 65 68 70 72 71 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..10 12 13 13 13 14 14 20 FT wind gust.15 16 18 20 21 21 21 Ridge wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Ridge wind spd..12 13 14 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 4.0 5.1 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.15 16 16 17 21 23 24 LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............62 60 67 75 90 101 106 Haines index....5 4 4 3 3 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..44 55 71 85 102 115 121 Ventrate Cat....FR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers overnight, then rain showers likely after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 52. Max humidity........89 percent. Dewpoint............34 increasing to 44. Max apparent temp...71. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph. Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 12 to 14 mph. Mixing height.......200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 20 mph decreasing to 8 to 12 mph early in the evening, then shifting to the west around 10 mph early in the morning. Vent Rate...........Good (74500 knot-ft) decreasing to poor (1800 knot-ft). LVORI...............2. ADI.................76 early in the evening decreasing to 6 late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........36 23 29 61 83 88 Weather cov..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 20 40 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............71 65 61 59 59 56 Dewpoint........33 35 38 42 43 45 RH..............25 33 42 53 55 66 Aparnt tmp (F)..71 65 61 59 59 56 20 ft wind......SW 14 SW 14 SW 12 SW 10 SW 10 W 10 20 ft wind gust.21 21 17 16 15 15 Ridgetop wind...SW 14 SW 14 SW 13 SW 12 SW 12 W 12 Mix hgt (ft)....4400 300 200 300 400 600 Transport wind..SW 20 SW 9 SW 9 SW 10 SW 12 W 12 LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 3 ADI.............76 8 6 9 10 10 Haines index....4 4 5 5 3 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..75 2 2 2 4 6 Ventrate Cat....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the morning, then slight chance of rain showers early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........30 percent. Dewpoint............49 decreasing to 39. Max apparent temp...70. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest around 8 mph late in the afternoon. Ridgetop wind.......West 7 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest around 10 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph. Vent Rate...........Poor (3400 knot-ft) increasing to fair (38700 knot-ft). LVORI...............3. ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 64 in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM Sky (%).........85 65 54 26 Weather cov.....CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).50 10 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 Temp............53 53 63 69 Dewpoint........47 50 49 42 RH..............80 89 60 37 Aparnt tmp (F)..53 53 63 69 20 FT wind......W 9G13 W 6G9 NW 8G12 NW 9G13 Ridgetop wind...W 10 W 7 NW 9 NW 10 Mix hgt (ft)....600 1200 3700 5400 Transport wind..W 9 W 7 NW 8 NW 10 LVORI...........4 5 2 1 ADI.............8 10 29 64 Haines index....2 3 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 7 26 49 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR FAIR $$ Forecaster...DJ Requested by...Wendy Becker Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2411962.0/JKL .DELDT 04/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL kykic@firenet.gov