FNUS73 KMKX 151402 FWSMKX Spot Forecast for Blue Mound State Park...WDNR National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 902 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 15. Please contact the National Weather Service if conditions become unrepresentative or if you have questions/concerns about this forecast. .DISCUSSION...High pressure will slowly move across the burn area this morning then to the east for the afternoon. Light and variable winds this morning will become light north to northeast late this morning and through the afternoon. Very low relative humidity is expected this afternoon. Breezy easterly winds then develop on Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms expected by late afternoon as a warm front approaches from the south. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Temperature.........56 at ignition...Max 70. RH..................52 percent at ignition...Min 22 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds variable at 3 mph or less at ignition...otherwise becoming north to northeast 5 to 6 mph by late in the morning and continuing into the afternoon. Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Light and variable at ignition time then north at 10 mph by late morning and afternoon, then northeast at 10 mph by late afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor /5100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good /31600 knot-ft/. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........2 4 6 6 9 6 6 3 2 9 11 12 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............48 48 50 56 60 63 66 67 69 70 70 70 RH..............58 60 63 52 44 38 32 28 24 23 23 24 20 FT wind dir..N N N NE NE NE NE N NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..4 3 0 2 4 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 20 FT wind gust.6 6 1 6 8 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.0 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.2 Transp wind dir.NE NE E NE N N N N N N NE NE Transp wind spd.6 5 6 6 9 9 10 9 7 8 7 7 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 SDspl kt-ft/10002 1 2 5 17 24 32 30 24 29 26 25 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Temperature.........Min 46. RH..................Max 68 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 14 mph with gusts to around 18 mph increasing to around 15 mph with gusts to around 19 mph early in the morning. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 8 to 17 mph increasing to 18 to 21 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (24200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (3800 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........14 7 8 9 10 13 16 19 23 27 31 36 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Temp............69 67 63 60 57 54 53 50 49 49 48 47 RH..............27 30 36 42 49 52 54 56 56 56 58 60 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 8 9 10 11 11 10 11 12 20 FT wind gust.10 11 12 13 14 16 18 18 18 18 18 19 Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.8 9 12 14 16 17 18 18 20 20 20 21 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 SDspl kt-ft/100024 4 5 5 7 8 9 9 10 11 12 13 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 60. RH..................Min 54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 14 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning and early afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 23 to 31 mph increasing to 33 to 36 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (16600 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (54100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........40 49 61 72 80 79 77 78 82 88 93 93 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC Temp............46 46 48 50 53 55 57 59 58 57 56 56 RH..............65 58 58 56 57 55 57 57 62 67 72 74 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E 20 FT wind spd..12 14 15 15 15 15 15 16 17 17 17 17 20 FT wind gust.20 22 23 24 24 24 24 24 26 29 30 30 Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.5 Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E Transp wind spd.23 24 29 29 31 31 33 35 35 36 36 33 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 SDspl kt-ft/100017 19 32 32 40 42 48 52 52 54 54 44 $$ Forecaster...Gehring Requested by...Mike Healy Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2410899.0/MKX .DELDT 04/15/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL mike@adaptiverestoration.com