FNUS73 KMPX 091504 FWSMPX Spot Forecast for Minowa WMA...MN DNR National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1004 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 09. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION...More clouds than sun expected today, with a small chance of a few showers/thunderstorms mainly through mid-afternoon. Winds will come from the north at around 15 mph, gusting to 20-25 mph, with RH values bottoming out between 50-55 percent. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late in the morning. Temperature.........58 at ignition...Max 64. RH..................75 percent at ignition...Min 54 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 14 mph at ignition...otherwise North winds 14 to 17 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Smoke dispersal.....Fair /27100 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...excellent /67000 knot-ft/. Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 3900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 16 to 21 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Temp............58 58 60 61 63 63 63 63 62 59 55 53 RH..............75 75 72 67 60 58 56 54 54 60 66 71 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N N N N N N N N 20 FT wind spd..14 15 16 16 17 16 15 14 12 9 8 6 20 FT wind gust.18 20 22 22 23 22 22 20 17 14 13 10 Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.3 2.2 2.3 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.8 2.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 Transp wind dir.N NE N N N N N N N NE N N Transp wind spd.16 17 18 21 21 21 20 18 15 10 9 9 Haines index....3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming mostly clear (20-30 percent). Temperature.........Min 43. RH..................Max 86 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the west around 6 mph after 3 am. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (61300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1900 knot-ft) late in the night. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....North 9 to 18 mph shifting to the northeast around 8 mph overnight, then shifting to the northwest 6 to 7 mph overnight shifting to the west 7 to 8 mph after 3 am. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of rain showers late in the afternoon. Temperature.........Max 71. RH..................Min 39 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 15 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2900 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (99800 knot-ft) in the afternoon increasing to excellent (128200 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph increasing to northwest 21 to 29 mph late in the morning. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Calderone Requested by...Chad August Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413612.0/MPX .DELDT 05/09/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Chad.august@state.mn.us