FNUS73 KPAH 231946 FWSPAH Spot Forecast for 2 Mules wildfire...FS National Weather Service Paducah KY 246 PM CDT Tue Apr 23 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 CDT on April 23. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Clouds will generally be on the uptick over the wildfire area as a front approaches from the north. This will ultimately bring rain chances in through tonight. Winds will be gusty south to southwest ahead of the front before shifting to the northwest and diminishing overnight. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Temperature.........75 at forecast start...Max 77. RH..................39 percent at forecast start...Min 37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Winds southwest at 12 mph at forecast start...otherwise Southwest winds 12 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Very good /109000 knot-ft/ at forecast start. Max...very good /116000 knot-ft/. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth at forecast start...max 4. TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM Sky cover.......PCLDY MCLDY Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 Temp............75 76 RH..............39 40 20 FT wind dir..SW SW 20 FT wind spd..12 13 20 FT wind gust.22 21 Haines index....4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..109 95 Ventrate Cat....VYGD GOOD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening. CWR.................0 percent increasing to 42 percent early in the evening, then increasing to 57 percent early in the evening decreasing to 44 percent late in the evening decreasing to 28 percent decreasing to 12 percent overnight decreasing to 0 percent. Temperature.........Min 50. RH..................Max 96 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to 10 mph early in the evening, then shifting to the north around 6 mph late in the evening becoming 6 to 7 mph overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Smoke dispersal.....Good (74900 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky cover.......MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY Weather cov.....S CHC LIKELY CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ S CHC CWR.............0 60 40 10 0 0 Temp............75 69 64 61 57 54 RH..............43 59 75 84 93 96 20 FT wind dir..SW NW N N N N 20 FT wind spd..10 10 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.18 16 10 9 8 10 Haines index....4 4 4 4 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..75 5 4 5 3 4 Ventrate Cat....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). CWR.................0 percent. Temperature.........Max 75. RH..................Min 28 percent. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast around 6 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4100 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to fair (40300 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky cover.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............52 53 63 71 74 75 RH..............93 83 52 35 29 28 20 FT wind dir..N N N N N NE 20 FT wind spd..7 8 8 7 7 6 20 FT wind gust.10 12 12 12 10 8 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 Vrate kt-ft/1K..5 9 29 38 40 32 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...WFO PADUCAH Requested by...Sueanne Cmehil-Warn Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2412037.0/PAH .DELDT 04/23/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL momoc.dispatch@usda.gov