FNUS74 KMOB 091137 FWSMOB Spot Forecast for Chick 447 448...USFS National Weather Service Mobile AL 637 AM CDT Thu May 9 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 09. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible at the burn site, mainly during the late morning through early afternoon hours. Any storm that does develop will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts and large hail. Outside of thunderstorms, mixing heights will rise well above critical thresholds by this afternoon. Transport winds will remain from the southwest up to around 15 mph. Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not anticipated at this time. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................3. Max temperature.....Around 91. Min humidity........60 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...701-1372 meters AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph. Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 7 meters/second. Dispersion index....40. LVORI...............3. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........70 64 63 63 65 68 64 63 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 40 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............81 83 87 88 89 90 91 91 RH..............82 77 68 66 64 62 60 60 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW WSW SSW SSW 20 FT wind spd..13 12 10 10 10 9 9 9 20 FT wind gust.20 18 16 16 15 15 14 15 Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.8 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.5 4.1 4.1 Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.2 1.2 Transp wind dir.SW SW WSW SW WSW WSW SW SSW Transp wind spd.15 15 13 12 12 10 9 10 Trans wind dir..SW SW WSW SW WSW WSW SW SSW Trans spd (m/s).7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 Dispersion idx..36 37 41 44 43 41 41 41 LVORI...........4 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then thunderstorms and showers overnight. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. LAL.................3 until 1900, then 1 until 2200, then 3 until 0100, then 5 until 0400, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 68. Max humidity........100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph shifting to the north around 9 mph after 3 am, then shifting to the west 7 to 8 mph after 3 am. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the late evening and overnight. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1250 meters AGL. Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest 8 to 12 mph after 3 am. Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second shifting to the southwest 4 to 5 meters/second. Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 9. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....4. TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........59 58 60 69 81 83 86 88 88 92 91 87 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC Chc of pcpn (%).30 10 10 10 30 30 30 80 80 80 50 50 LAL.............3 1 1 1 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 Temp............89 86 81 79 77 77 75 75 72 71 70 69 RH..............64 70 82 88 90 90 97 94 100 100 100 100 20 FT wind dir..S SSE S S S S S SSW S NNW SW W 20 FT wind spd..9 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 10 9 8 20 FT wind gust.14 14 15 15 15 15 16 16 15 17 15 13 Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.9 0.8 Mix hgt (km)....1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 Transp wind dir.S S S S S S S SSW S WSW SW WSW Transp wind spd.9 9 9 10 10 12 10 12 9 12 9 8 Trans wind dir..S S S S S S S SSW S WSW SW WSW Trans spd (m/s).4 4 4 4 4 5 4 5 4 5 4 4 Dispersion idx..41 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 9 10 8 7 LVORI...........1 4 4 6 7 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent) then becoming sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. LAL.................3 until 0700, then 2 until 1300, then 1. Max temperature.....Around 86. Min humidity........43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph shifting to the northwest 7 to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the morning. Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL. Mixing height (m)...152-1676 meters AGL. Transport winds.....West 7 to 8 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 17 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Transport winds m/s.Northwest 3 to 8 meters/second. Dispersion index....9 increasing to 73. LVORI...............5. Stability class.....3. TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........78 77 75 77 76 68 52 35 25 16 8 8 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 40 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............68 68 69 71 75 79 82 84 85 86 86 85 RH..............100 100 100 97 82 72 63 55 50 45 43 43 20 FT wind dir..WSW WNW WNW NW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW 20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 12 20 FT wind gust.12 12 12 13 15 15 17 18 18 18 18 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.2 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.7 4.5 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5 Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 Transp wind dir.W W WNW NW NNW N NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 9 9 12 14 16 17 17 15 Trans wind dir..W W WNW NW NNW N NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW NNW Trans spd (m/s).3 3 4 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 7 Dispersion idx..6 8 11 18 25 32 49 62 72 72 74 74 LVORI...........8 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 $$ Forecaster...73 Requested by...Rodney Landrum Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413578.0/MOB .DELDT 05/09/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Rodney.landrum@usda.gov