FNUS75 KTFX 080904
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Elk Creek piles...USFS
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
304 AM MDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on May 08. 
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Snow transitions to rain later this morning and will become more 
showery in nature as the low pressure system weakens and moves 
away from the region. The best chance for wetting precipitation 
will be this morning, even though scattered shower activity looks 
to persist into Thursday amid a relatively moist northeasterly flow 
aloft. High pressure brings in much warmer and drier conditions 
for the weekend, but a weak disturbance may bring some westerly
breezes late Sunday into Monday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Snow in the morning
                    changing to rain in the afternoon and becoming 
                    more scattered and showery in nature. 
CWR.................95 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....36-41. 
Min humidity........81-86 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......Breezy. North winds 15 to 30 mph. 
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North around 25 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers likely in the 
                    evening, then chance of rain showers overnight. 
CWR.................40 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Min temperature.....33-38. 
Max humidity........95-100 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......North winds up to 10 mph. 
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph. 
Haines Index........ 

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Chance of rain showers. 
CWR.................25 percent. 
LAL.................1. 
Max temperature.....48-53. 
Min humidity........69-74 percent. 
Wind (20 ft)........ 
 Slope/valley.......North winds up to 5 mph. 
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL. 
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph. 
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume 
                    dominated fire growth. 

$$
Forecaster...Greely
Requested by...Juan P Hernandez Jr
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413347.0/TFX
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Juan.Hernandez3@usda.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov