FQAU22 AMRF 311019 IDV10210 SECURITE Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology Victoria P.O. Box 1636 Melbourne Vic 3001 HIGH SEAS FORECAST FOR METAREA 10 SOUTH EASTERN AREA 28S/50S, 129E/170E. ISSUED BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY MELBOURNE FOR 24 HOURS COMMENCING 1100 UTC 31 AUGUST 2011 PLEASE BE AWARE Wind gusts can be 40 percent stronger than the averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height. Part 1 Warnings Melbourne Gale Warning issued 310650UTC: Bounded by 45S146E 44S149E 42S150E 38S155E 41S155E 45S153E 47S146E 45S146E. New Zealand Gale Warning 857 at 310600UTC: This affects ocean areas: FORTIES and SOUTHERN. Over waters east of 160E. Low 974hPa near 55S168E moving east 20 knots. 1. Within 240nm of low in sector from south through west to northwest: Clockwise 50 knots at times. Storm area moving east 20 knots. 2. Outside area 1 and in a belt 780nm wide centred on a line 61S171E 53S169E 43S168E: Clockwise 40 knots at times. Gale area moving east of southeast 20 knots. Part 2 Situation at 0600 UTC Refer to latest warnings. Ridge near 40S129E to high 1026hPa near 39S133E to 32S160E to high 1021hPa near 32.5S160E to 27S170E, and forecast near 43S129E 37S148E 29S170E at 311800UTC and near 49S129E 35S152E 29S170E at 010600UTC. Trough near 45S136E 49S139E to low 1011hPa near 51S139.5E, forecast near 47S142E 48S158E at 311800UTC and near 39S150E 41S160E 43S170E at 010600UTC. Part 3 Forecast Refer to latest warnings. Within 180nm of ridge, 240nm of highs and area north of ridge east of 150E: Variable winds to 15 knots. Slight seas and low to moderate swell. Remainder north of ridge: Easterly quarter winds 10/20 knots. Slight to moderate seas. Low to moderate swell. Reminder southwest of trough outside warning areas: Southerly quarter winds 15/25 knots reaching 25/33 knots within 180nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Remainder south of ridge, outside warning areas: Westerly quarter winds. Wind speed 15/25 knots increasing to 25/33 knots within 180nm of warning areas. Moderate to rough seas. Moderate to heavy swell. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms south of ridge with the passage of cold fronts/trough. Scattered showers also in area north of 34S Isolated showers over remainder away from ridge. Visibility reduced below 3nm in precipitation. WEATHER MELBOURNE