FXAK67 PAJK 101335
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
535 AM AKDT Fri May 10 2024

.SHORT TERM.../ Through Friday night / Tail end of weather front
exits the southern panhandle early Friday. Scattered showers 
behind the front. A small ridge at the surface and loft will be
transitioning east late Friday and Saturday. Should be limiting 
the precipitation and the weakening of the gradient will weaken 
the winds through Southeast Alaska by Friday night.

Any expected precipitation should be rain, though it is cold
enough that a mix or all snow may fall near White Pass early
Friday. May also pick up a some mixed along the Northeast Gulf
Coast late Friday night, as some precipitation from the next front
starts to spread in from the next system.   

The next weather system is just moving into the western gulf
Friday morning and the associated front will move into the central
gulf by Saturday morning. 

.LONG TERM...The long term starts with the return of the wet weather 
for SE AK. Rain chances will increase from west to east as our 
next system moves across the gulf during the day on Saturday and 
into Saturday evening. With this, weather across the area will 
continue to feel more like late summer and early fall rather than 
late spring with the continued wet weather. As of right now, the 
weather looks to remain wet and unsettled but rainfall amounts 
each day should become less compared to the rain amounts being 
seen today. With the continued clouds and rain, temperatures 
continue to remain cool and should continue on a trend similar to 
where they have been. As we head farther into the long term, CPC 
guidance continues to show in the 6 to 10 day a more cool and wet 
pattern for SE AK. This is backed up by the 8 to 14 day guidance 
that suggests a continued cool and dry pattern with the exception 
of the southern panhandle. Probabilities of precipitation remain 
near equal for locations south of Frederick sound.

&&

.AVIATION...Front finally exits the panhandle Friday with strong 
winds and moderate rain giving way to more benign conditions overall 
through the morning hours. Southwesterly flow in the low levels will 
ensure continued isolated shower potential with some breaks in cloud 
cover, especially for the southern panhandle later in the day 
Friday. No significant LLWS or strong surface winds are expected for 
this TAF period, with lone exception being Skagway which will see 
southerly winds of 20 kt or more into Friday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for winds/seas this morning and 
staring again late tonight near Cape Suckling. Winds across inner 
channels primarily 20 kt or less Friday morning with a few local 
exceptions, and diminishing to under 15 kt over night. 

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind until 1 PM AKDT this afternoon for AKZ318.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ012-641>644-651-652-661>664-671-672. 

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Bezenek
LONG TERM....SF
AVIATION...STJ
MARINE...Bezenek

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