FXAK68 PAFC 021146 ANCAFDAFC SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 400 AM AKDT THU JUN 2 2011 .MODEL DISCUSSION...NOT AVAILABLE DUE TO CONTINUED MODEL INGEST FAILURES. .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE MAIN SYSTEM IS IN THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE STRONG SOUTH FLOW IS PRODUCING RAIN AND HIGH WINDS. LOOKS AS THE AREA OF STRONGEST WINDS WILL SLOWLY MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE AK PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING. .SHORT TERM FORECAST...GENERALLY CLOUDY OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TODAY WITH POSSIBLE SUN BREAKS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MOSTLY SUNNY IN SOUTHWESTERN ZONES AFTER SOME LOCALIZED FOG. SYSTEM OVER THE EASTERN BERING SHOULD MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL BERING ON FRI. FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE ON SHORE IN BRISTOL BAY THIS EVENING. .LONG TERM FORECAST...NOGAPS SOLUTION INDICATING THAT BERING SYSTEM WILL MOVE TOWARD ST LAWRENCE ISLAND THIS WEEKEND AS IT SLOWLY DISSIPATES. THE RESULT WOULD BE MOIST SOUTH FLOW FROM 170W EAST TO 145W. CLOUDY WITH RAIN IN SOUTHWESTERN ZONES AND CHANCE OF RAIN IN SOUTHCENTRAL. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...HWW 181 MARINE...GALES 170 155 165 179 FIRE WEATHER...NONE JMP JUN 11