FXUS62 KKEY 080229
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
1029 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 923 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Issued at 1030 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

Currently - An elongated Atlantic Ridge stretching westward 
across Florida and the Gulf of Mexico is driving gentle easterly 
breezes across the Keys this evening. This steady flow is 
maintaining seasonably warm and humid conditions. Temperatures are
currently near 80 with dew points in the mid 70s. Meanwhile, mid 
to upper level ridging reaching north northeastward through the 
Gulf of Mexico is slowly shifting eastward closer to our area. 
This evenings sounding indicated a good amount of backing through
the lower levels and some inhibition and drier air between 
roughly 900 and 750 mb. As a result of the above, shower activity 
has been extremely limited across the broader area, with only a 
few clusters along old seabreeze boundaries over Cuba and South 
Florida. The Keys have been dry.

Short Term Update - Robust lower level ridging will remain across
Florida. This will keep breezes light to gentle with a gradual  
nudge towards east southeasterly. Ridging will become 
increasingly dominant through the mid and upper levels. Forecast 
soundings suggest lower level inhibition will strengthen while 
moisture will wane a bit. This along with a continued backing 
profile will result in an inhospitable environment for showers. 
Will keep out mention of pops. Expect overnight lows in the upper 
70s with dew points remaining in the mid 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 923 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

A ridge across Florida will maintain gentle to moderate breezes on
Keys waters through the overnight period. Expect winds to veer a
bit further to east southeasterly. No changes made in the evening
marine update.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 923 PM EDT Tue May 7 2024

VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals through the
overnight period. Surface winds will be gentle out of the east to
southeast.

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...11
Aviation/Nowcasts....11
Data Acquisition.....DR

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