FXUS62 KTBW 251145
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
745 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 744 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

A dry and stable airmass continues to be in place this morning as 
everyone wakes up to sunny skies and lows in the upper 50s to mid 
60s. Temperatures will continue to climb a little higher again 
today, but will be moderated along the coast by the sea breeze. The 
forecast remains on track.

&&

.SHORT TERM (TDY-FRI)...
Issued at 431 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Another fairly clear and cool morning across the peninsula. 
Meanwhile, an upper level ridge gradually dominating over the 
region before sliding and building along the East Coast. As a
result, dry air and rain free conditions remain in place over the
next several days. Light easterly winds prevailing with an 
onshore shift each afternoon. In terms of temperatures, highs warm
up to around 90 degrees by Friday while dewpoints stay in 60s.
This should make conditions feel a little more tolerable. Visitors
and residents should be sure to stay hydrated if performing outdoor
activities.

&&

.LONG TERM (SAT-WED)...
Issued at 431 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Going into the weekend, a disturbance moving north of the area
could result in an increase in wind speeds as the pressure
gradient tightens. Winds should decrease through the first half 
of the week and the sea breeze returns at least to coastal areas.
Afternoon highs remain in the 90s while overnight lows stay in 
the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 744 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

No significant aviation concerns as a dry airmass remains in place. 
Only point of note is a westerly wind shift this afternoon for 
coastal sites as the sea breeze moves inland.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 334 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Ridge of high pressure remains in control across the Gulf waters 
through the period keeping minimal weather concerns. Easterly 
winds will become onshore each afternoon remaining below 15 knots
with seas of 2 feet and under. Then, the interaction between the
ridge and a disturbance moving north of the area, could bring
cautionary level winds to the waters for the weekend.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 329 AM EDT Thu Apr 25 2024

Area of high pressure continues to dominate across fire districts 
through the next several days. Minimum humidities are expected to be
at critical levels each afternoon. Fairly light easterly winds
prevail early becoming westerly behind the afternoon sea breeze.  
Winds should remain light keeping any Red Flag Warning from being 
needed at this time, however a slight increase in speed is possible 
during the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  85  66  89  68 /   0   0   0   0 
FMY  87  65  89  66 /   0   0   0   0 
GIF  87  63  88  66 /   0   0   0   0 
SRQ  85  65  90  66 /   0   0   0   0 
BKV  86  58  89  61 /   0   0   0   0 
SPG  83  70  87  71 /   0   0   0   0 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Flannery
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Delerme