FXUS65 KLKN 262132 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 232 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024 .SYNOPSIS...A low pressure system will be moving out of the state tonight into Saturday allowing diminishing showers across eastern Nevada through tonight. Some fog is expected tonight in valleys with recent abundant precipitation across the area. Several weak upper- level disturbances could bring a few more showers to mainly northern Nevada Sunday, Monday and Wednesday but dry conditions overall and warming temperatures are expected next week. && .SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday night Scattered showers, thunderstorms and snow above 7000 feet or so will continue to diminish this evening and overnight as the low pressure system translates east of the region. Lows tonight will drop well into the 30s. Areas that clear out more will see temperatures below freezing for a few hours but most locations are expected to stay above freezing. With recent widespread wetting rains and near saturated soils, potential for fog is there in valleys across the area. Cloud cover lingering across eastern Nevada tonight may mitigate fog formation there but a few valleys across west central Nevada have a better chance to see marked clearing and lighter northwest winds. Besides a few lingering light showers along the UT/NV border Saturday, much quieter weather will be in place across the area with lighter, but still noticeable northwest winds. Highs will rise into the 50s and lower 60s with lows Saturday night falling into the 30s. .LONG TERM...Saturday night through next Thursday. Look for a mainly northwest flow through the early portions of the long term period. Light, leftover rain showers will continue Sunday afternoon though accumulations will be light, mainly in northern Elko county. Afternoon gusts to 20 mph will be likely with highs in the 50s and 60s. Clouds are expected to scatter out during the overnight with quiet and dry weather. Overnight lows will be in the 30s. The upper flow will become more west to east during the early morning hours Monday with light, off and on rain showers for northern Elko county. Accumulations are still looking to be on the light side with amounts of a trace to 0.05 inches. Winds will be breezy to locally windy with gusts to 35 mph. Some higher gusts are possible on the lee-side of mountain ranges with speeds to 45 mph. Highs will warm several degrees with readings in the 60s with 70s in central Nevada. Look for the showers to end by the overnight with lows in the 20s and 30s. From Tuesday through Thursday, another wave is expected to pass just north of the area on Tuesday with an afternoon of breezy winds and partly sunny skies, though low-end isolated showers are possible during the late morning and afternoon hours. Look for quieter weather for Wednesday though afternoon breezes to 25 mph are possible. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s for both afternoons with lows in the 30s and 40s. Look for increasing clouds and an increasing chance for showers on Thursday with highs in the 70s and overnight lows in the 30s and 40s. && .AVIATION...Intermittent MVFR/IFR conditions will continue with VCTS and -SHRA across all terminals except KTPH through the early evening hours. Breezy winds from the W-NW20-25G30KT expected to affect all TAF sites into the evening with gusts as high as 35-40 knots at KTPH during the evening. Winds will subside later this evening. BCFG is possible across the northern TAF sites KWMC-KEKO, though chances of occurrence on station is 15%. Look for mainly VFR conditions on Saturday with afternoon W-NW breezes to 20KT with gusts to 30KT. && .HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across many streams, creeks, and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to snow melt and recent rainfall. Shower activity across northern Nevada will diminish and move eastward through tonight as the storm system exits the region. Cooler temperatures are also expected the next few days, including freezing temperatures at night at higher elevations, which will likely slow high elevation snow melt. There will be opportunities for light rain and higher elevation snow showers across northern Nevada through the first half of next week but hydrologic impact should be minimal with wetting rains not expected. The Bruneau River is currently in minor flood stage but could fall to below flood stage late this afternoon or evening. The river will remain elevated through the weekend however. The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain is currently in action stage and is expected to gradually rise in the coming days. The river is forecast to approach minor flood stage by early next week The Owyhee River near Wildhorse is currently in action stage and expected to gradually rise in the coming days. The river is forecast to reach minor flood stage by early next week. The Owyhee River near Mountain City is currently in minor flood stage. The river is forecast to remain in minor flood stage over the next several days. Wildhorse Dam is expected to slowly rise during the next several days but stay in action stage. The Humboldt River at Comus is currently in action stage and is forecast to slowly rise through early next week, potentially reaching minor flood stage by midweek. Mary's River near Deeth currently in action stage and is expected to gradually rise in the coming days. The river is forecast to reach minor flood stage late Saturday morning. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM PDT Saturday Ruby Mountains and East Humboldt Range. Winter Weather Advisory until 5 AM PDT Saturday ABOVE 7000 FEET in White Pine County. && $$ 93/86/86