NGAK88 PAFG 042124
HCMAFG

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL COORDINATION MESSAGE
ALASKA-PACIFIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
104 PM AKDT Sat May 4 2024

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CONTACT:
Celine van Breukelen  907-266-5161     907-350-9219 (CELL PHONE AFTER 5 PM)


LOCATION/KNOWN FLOOD AREA*:  Circle

PRODUCT TYPE: Watch

EXPIRATION TIME:  Update to start at midnight tonight and through ~10am on Tuesday.

PRIMARY CAUSE: Ice jam
	


BASIS:

As of midday Saturday, the Yukon River breakup front is 50 miles upstream of Circle,
near Coal Creek.  There is a 20 mile run of dense ice above the breakup front.  
Residents of Circle should be aware that the breakup front is approaching.  If the 
breakup front doesn't stall, it will likely reach Circle early Sunday morning.
Water levels in Eagle during breakup were within bank, so the ingredients for a major 
or catastrophic flood like last year are not present.  However as the breakup 
front moves downstream, it is likely that small jams may form and release, leading 
to fluctuating water levels and potential minor or moderate flooding.  



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*AFG has the following Known Flood Areas:

Rivers/Lakes:			
Rosie Creek



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