NZUS97 KILN 182141 MISTWB .DISCUSSION... THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TODAY WITH AN INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE INCIDENT. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 15-20 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AT RIDGETOP LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED...ALONG WITH RH'S IN THE 10-15 PERCENT RANGE AND TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S. WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY ON WEDNESDAY WITH THE THE DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUING. WILL SEE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...WITH GUSTY OUTFLOWS AND LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARDS. AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES THURSDAY...THE HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES WILL COOL. HOWEVER...THE WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG FROM THE WEST TO NORTHWEST. TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT WITH WINDS FINALLY DIMINISHING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... ...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT... FORECASTER...TWB .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 BELOW 7500'...75-82 ABOVE 7500'. MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT ALL ELEVATIONS. 20 FOOT WINDS.......HIGHLY VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 6-12 MPH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10-15 GUSTS TO 25 MPH...INCREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH BOTH ENDS OF FIRE AFTER 1200. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN LAL 2. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL BY NOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (325000 KNOT-FT) BY 1200. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (10-20 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-55 ALL ELEVATIONS. MAX HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT BELOW 7500'...25-35 PERCENT ABOVE 7500'. 20 FOOT WINDS.......HIGHLY VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 8 TO 13 MPH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. DIMINISHING AFTER 2100 AND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 5-10 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-17 MPH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BOTH ENDS OF THE FIRE. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL BY 2400 BELOW 7000'... 2500' AGL ABOVE 7000'. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT) BELOW 7000' AGL... FAIR (50000 KNOT-FT) ABOVE 7000' AGL. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........VERY WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 BELOW 7500 FT...72-80 ABOVE 7500 FT. MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT ALL ELEVATIONS. 20 FOOT WINDS.......HIGHLY VARIABLE IN DIRECTION 7-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10-20 MPH GUSTS TO 35 MPH...INCREASING TO 20-30 MPH GUSTS TO 45 MPH AROUND NOON BOTH ENDS OF FIRE. LAL.................1. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........HAINES 6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 12000 FT AGL BY 1200. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 MPH BOTH ENDS OF THE FIRE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (420000 KNOT-FT) BY 1200. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND WINDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 15-25 MPH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. MAX RH 3-40 PERCENT. HAINES 5. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH GUSTS TO 40 MPH. MIN RH 18-23 PERCENT...MAX RH 60-70 PERCENT. AFTERNOON HAINES 5. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS 55-65. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. MIN RH 25-30 PERCENT...MAX RH 75-85 PERCENT. AFTERNOON HAINES 4.