NZUS97 KJKL 311847
OZFJKL
.LONG TERM.../MON NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
MODELS GENERALLY AGREE OVER A RATHER FLAT UPPER TROUGH OVER THE 
EASTERN CONUS...ALMOST ZONAL EXCEPT FOR AN OCCASIONAL SHORTWAVE
THEY AMPLIFY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. 12Z GFS KEEPS THE FLOW 
FLAT AND AGREES WITH MOST OF ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS THOUGH MOST 00Z 
GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS DID NOT AGREE WITH THE OPERATIONAL RUN WHILE 
AMPLIFYING A SHORTWAVE LATE IN THE WEEK. GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS 
AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES APPEARS A BETTER BET THAN THESE 
ALTERNATIVE SCENARIOS. LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THIS PERIOD FOR
NOW UNTIL IF AND WHEN A MODEL CAN SETTLE ON A SHORTWAVE. EVEN THEN 
IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT SIGNIFICANT RAIN WOULD OCCUR.