TXUS20 KNES 051848
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 03/05/22 1848Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-16 VIS/WV;12Z SJU RAOB;TSJU RADAR;BLENDED TPW;MTC
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LOCATION...PUERTO RICO...
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ATTN WFOS...SJU...
ATTN RFCS...
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EVENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...VISIBLE GOES-16 IMAGERY AND TSJU RADAR
DEPICT ONGOING DEEP CONVECTION OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF PUERTO RICO, WITH
NUMEROUS AREAS OF SHALLOWER CONVECTION SCATTERED ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE REGION. THIS IS TAKING PLACE WITHIN A MODERATELY MOIST ENVIRONMENT,
WITH UPWARDS OF 1.5 INCHES OF TPW ALONG AN UPPER TROF TO THE NW. DEEPER
CONVECTION IS SLOW MOVING, WITH UPPER WINDS FROM THE W AND LOW-LEVEL
WINDS FROM THE E. THIS IS LEADING TO AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 1900-0000Z...HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON, WITH DIMINISHING INTENSITY AND COVERAGE NEAR AND AFTER
SUNSET. THE TROF TO THE NW WILL CONTINUE DRIFTING TO THE SE, WHICH WILL
BRING THE AXIS OF ENHANCED MOISTURE CLOSER TO THE AREA. WHILE THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD REDUCE THE AREA AND INTENSITY OF THE ACTIVE
CONVECTION, MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL COULD PERSIST FOR A FEW ADDITIONAL
HOURS DUE TO THE INCREASING TPW.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 1926 6805 1895 6451 1701 6451 1724 6811 1725 6819

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