WTIN20 DEMS 040645
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC T ROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 04.05.2024
T ROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND THE
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
04.05.2024 BASED ON
0300 UTC OF 04.05.2024.
BAY OF BENGAL:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER NORTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL ADJOINING ARAKAN COAST.
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH BAY OF BENGAL AND ANDAMAN SEA.

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
168 HRS:
 24       24-48    48-72      72-96     96-120      120-144
144-168
 HOURS    HOURS    HOURS      HOURS      HOURS       HOURS
HOURS
  NIL     NIL      NIL         NIL       NIL        NIL          NIL
 NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT
DAY

ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHWEST ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN
OCEAN
BETWEEN LATITUDE 4.0ON TO 7.5ON LONG ITUDE 59.0OE TO 63.0OE.
SCATTERED LOW AND
M EDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED WEAK TO M ODERATE CONVECTION LAY OVER
NORTH
ARABIAN SEA, GULF OF KUTCH, WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA, REST OF SOUTH
ARABIAN
SEA LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA & COMORIN AREA.

 PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
168 HRS:
 24       24-48    48-72      72-96     96-120      120-144
144-168
 HOURS    HOURS    HOURS      HOURS      HOURS       HOURS       HOUR
 NIL      NIL       NIL       NIL         NIL        NIL          NIL
S

 NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT
DAY=