WTPQ30 RJTD 010600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO.30 FOR TD LOCATED AT 15N 112E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  KOTO (2527) HAS WEAKENED TO TD INTENSITY. THE TD IS LOCATED AT
  15N, 112E. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT POSITION IS BASED ON
  ANIMATED MSI AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004HPA
  AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE LESS THAN 30KNOTS. THE SYSTEM IS
  IN AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT UNDER THE INFLUENCE
  OF LOWER SSTS AND DRY AIR. THIS HAS CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO WEAKEN
  OVER THE LAST SIX HOURS. INFORMATION ON THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS
  BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ANALYSES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  THE SYSTEM IS ALMOST STATIONARY DUE TO WEAK STEERING FLOW.
  ANIMATED MSI SHOWS THE SYSTEM IS NOW ONLY A VORTEX CONSISTING OF
  LOW-LEVEL CLOUDS. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY AIR AROUND THE
  SYSTEM.
3.TRACK FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  SEE THE MARINE WARNING (WWJP27 RJTD).
5.REMARKS
  THIS WILL BE THE FINAL PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR THE SYSTEM.
=