####018005283#### FXUS62 KFFC 070610 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 110 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...New 06Z Aviation Discussion... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1254 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 - Dense fog will create hazardous travel conditions in north and central Georgia through 10 AM today. - Light rainfall returns to the region Sunday night and Monday morning with amounts in the 0.01 to 0.35 inch range expected. - An additional round of modest rainfall is anticipated in the region Thursday into Friday. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 122 PM EST Sat Dec 6 2025 Current radar imagery shows showers moving more into central GA and should be on their way out of the area by later this afternoon. Moist conditions are expected to hold into the overnight hours with limited dry air movement. Another shortwave moves across the southeast tomorrow surging moisture out ahead in north and central Georgia tonight into tomorrow morning. Near surface light easterly flow, increasing moisture, and some CAA will drive the potential for widespread fog for areas mostly along and south of I20. Visibilities may drop to 1/4 mile or less in some areas and a dense fog advisory may be necessary for central and portions of north Georgia. More patchy fog is also possible in northern GA and may be co-located with temperatures near freezing. Surfaces will likely not be cold enough for any rime icing though there is some potential on the protected slopes in far north Georgia. Low clouds and will likely hold conditions steady late into the morning tomorrow (10/11am). Showers return to the area once again tomorrow evening. No thunderstorms area expected at this time. && .LONG TERM... (Monday morning through next Friday) Issued at 122 PM EST Sat Dec 6 2025 The mid-/upper-level shortwave trough axis will shift east of the County Warning Area (CWA) on Monday, in turn pushing what remains of the Gulf moisture feed eastward as well. The result will be rain showers -- likely relegated to the eastern half or so of the CWA -- tapering off over the course of the day. The National Blend of Models (NBM) added light snow mixing with rain in the north Georgia mountains on Monday, but I opted to omit any frozen precip as I suspect that the atmospheric profile will be too dry in the mid-/upper-levels and too warm at/near the surface. Tuesday and Wednesday will bring dry, mostly sunny conditions thanks to high pressure and a continental airmass. Wednesday should be a noticeably warmer day than Tuesday, with highs in the mid-50s to lower 60s compared to upper 40s to mid-50s. This warm- up will occur in response to low-/mid-level flow shifting from northerly to westerly in advance of a northern stream shortwave/jet streak that will dive southward and eastward across the Ohio/Tennessee River Valleys Wednesday into Thursday. Like the previous long term discussion mentioned, ensemble guidance continues to differ regarding the southern extent of the associated surface low and front, as well as how much moisture will be in place. Have capped PoPs at 30% (analogous to widely scattered showers) Wednesday night through Friday morning given said forecast uncertainty. As the forecast stands now, the end of the long term period could bring quite the cool-down, with Saturday (12/13) morning lows in the mid-20s to lower 30s across much of the CWA. Stay tuned! && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1254 AM EST Sun Dec 7 2025 Widespread dense fog (visibilities below 1/4 mile) will remain the primary aviation hazard through 15Z Sunday. Impacts will occur at the TAF sites for a prolonged period. Visibility and ceilings will improve after 15Z, but a mix of IFR and MVFR ceilings (300 to 2000 ft AGL) will likely linger through the day on Sunday. Light (2 to 6 kt) easterly winds (060 to 120 degrees) will occur through the day on Sunday. Light rainfall will return between 00Z and 18Z Monday. //ATL Confidence...06Z Update... High confidence in multiple hours of dense fog through 15Z Sunday. High confidence in the wind speeds and direction through Sunday. Moderate confidence that ceiling will rise to MVFR by 18Z Sunday. Albright && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 39 52 31 48 / 60 30 10 0 Atlanta 42 52 33 51 / 70 10 10 0 Blairsville 36 46 27 47 / 60 30 10 0 Cartersville 39 52 30 52 / 60 10 0 0 Columbus 44 57 33 55 / 60 10 0 0 Gainesville 41 52 33 48 / 60 20 10 0 Macon 42 56 33 52 / 60 20 0 0 Rome 43 54 32 56 / 50 10 0 0 Peachtree City 41 53 31 52 / 70 10 10 0 Vidalia 45 57 34 52 / 30 30 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for GAZ002>009- 011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098- 102>113. && $$ SHORT TERM...SM LONG TERM....Martin AVIATION...Albright ####018004415#### FXUS64 KSJT 070614 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1214 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 ...New LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Cooler today into Monday. - Warmer and above normal temperatures Tuesday through midweek, then turning much cooler following a Thursday cold frontal passage. - Dry with no precipitation expected this week. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Sunday) Issued at 1105 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Generally quiet and dry weather will continue through Sunday. A cold front will move through late tonight into Sunday, bringing northerly winds and cooler temperatures. After highs in the 60s and 70s today, Sunday's highs will only warm into the upper 50s along and north of I-20 to mid 60s along the I-10 corridor. Skies will remain mostly clear though Sunday. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Saturday) Issued at 1212 AM CST Sun Dec 7 2025 A dry forecast is in store for this week, and our area will be under northwest flow aloft. A series of upper troughs will move southeast from the northern Plains across the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. A weak cold frontal passage is progged for Wednesday, with a stronger cold front Thursday afternoon and evening. After a cold start to the day Monday, afternoon highs are expected to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s with mostly sunny skies and a return of southeast to south winds. Warmer and above normal temperatures will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday with mostly clear skies. Increased/breezy south-southwest winds are expected Tuesday with a tightening pressure gradient and lee surface trough development to our west. A weak cold frontal passage is progged Wednesday afternoon and evening, but will essentially just result in a temporary wind shift. Highs Wednesday are currently forecast to be in the upper 60s north to mid 70s south. A stronger cold front is forecast to move south across our area Thursday afternoon and evening. Recent model trends are stronger with this front. Timing of this frontal passage will be key to how warm temperatures get on Thursday (prior to its passage). At this time, blended model solution has highs ranging from the upper 60s in the northern Big Country, to around 80 along the I-10 corridor. Following passage of this front, gusty north-northeast winds are expected Thursday night and Friday, as a strong surface high pressure ridge builds south across the Great Plains from southern Canada. Blended model approach has temperatures much cooler Friday and Saturday. Current forecast highs Friday are from near 50 north to the upper 50s south, and lows Friday night in the mid 20s to near 30. Highs on Saturday are mostly in the 50-55 degree range. However, stronger cold air advection could result in temperatures being colder than what is currently forecast. Will continue to monitor model trends and the possible need to adjust temperatures lower. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 939 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025 Cold front will continue to make progress to the south overnight and will shift winds around to the north across all of the terminals by late morning. Low cloud imagery continues to show fog and low clouds dropping south behind the front south of the Red River. Will continue the mention of fog and IFR cigs moving into the KABI area by sunrise and continuing into the mid morning hours. These low clouds will continue south and southeast and have added a mention of MVFR into the KBBD terminal location during the mid morning hours as well. Elsewhere, still looks like VFR conditions will hold. North winds will be gusty for the afternoon hours behind the front with some gusts exceeding 25 kts in some locations. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 59 32 62 41 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 62 33 64 37 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 65 31 66 34 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 60 29 61 33 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 59 33 63 40 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 64 33 64 36 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 60 32 61 36 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...07