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FXUS64 KHUN 252250

AFDHUN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

550 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024



...New AVIATION...



.NEAR TERM...

(Tonight)

Issued at 107 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024



An upper level low across the Western Plains will strengthen and

shift eastward this evening. Remnant MCS's from this morning have

slowly moved ESE across MO/AR/MS, but have progressively weakened

as they approach a dry and more stable airmass across the

Tennessee Valley. With a stationary front situated in central AL,

this trend should continue overnight. A low chance (20-30%) PoP

was maintained through the overnight hours as we cannot rule out

a light showers from one of the upstream MCS's. Otherwise, a mild

night is forecast with overnight lows only dipping down into the 

upper 50s.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Friday through Sunday)

Issued at 107 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024



On Friday, the aforementioned stationary boundary lifts northward

as a warm front. With the lack of moisture, a dry passage is

expected with just an increase in cloud cover and humidity. As 

the series of lows centered over the Plains deepen, the pressure 

gradient across the local forecast area tightens and as a result, 

breezy conditions are expected Friday through Sunday. Wind gusts 

each afternoon of the short term period are forecast to gust up to 

25-35 mph, just below wind advisory criteria. The good news, is 

that the systems to our west will eject northeastward as an upper

level ridge amplifies across the Southeast. This keeps dry weather

through the weekend, but it will feel hot and humid at times. 

Southeasterly flow will warm afternoon temperatures into the lower

80s each day with overnight lows in the mid to upper 60s. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Monday through Wednesday)

Issued at 323 AM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024



Another mid/upper-level trough will sweep NE from the Southern

Plains into the Mid-Mississippi Valley and Great Lakes region Sunday

night into Monday. In response, a surface cold front will push 

eastward across the lower-Mississippi Valley and Mid South during 

the day on Monday. The latest guidance continues to trend a little

later with this feature, meaning that most likely Monday will be

another warm/dry day. However, by Monday night into Tuesday,

medium chances (40-60%) for showers/storms are forecast along and

just ahead of this cold front as it pushes into the area. Not

expecting much in the way of an air mass change behind the front,

however, as highs will only dip back a few degrees on Tuesday. We

may begin to enter a more unsettled pattern by mid/late week as

another front may attempt to push in sometime late Wednesday of

next week.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 550 PM CDT Thu Apr 25 2024



Despite light rain and clouds, VFR conditions should prevail for 

the whole TAF period at both terminals. Light SHRA/VCSH will 

continue through the overnight hours but no lightning is expected.

Tomorrow, rain will clear around sunrise however gusty SSE winds 

will develop. Gusts up to 20 MPH will be possible through the 

remainder of the TAF period. 



&&



.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...None.

TN...None.

&&



$$



NEAR TERM...GH

SHORT TERM....GH

LONG TERM....AMP

AVIATION...RAD