####018005025#### FXUS62 KTAE 082120 AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 420 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 - A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from the Okaloosa/Walton County line to the Ochlockonee River through early tonight. - The work week will feature little or no rain after this morning, along with seasonable temperatures. && .SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM... (This Evening through Sunday) Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Now post-frontal we'll see cool and dry conditions over the next couple days as northerly flow prevails. Wednesday morning the flow turns southerly briefly as another cold front looks to approach the region. However, dew points struggle to recover into the mid 50s, confined mostly to our FL Coastal counties. Thus not much is expected out of this frontal feature as it moves through late Wednesday into Thursday morning, maybe a stray shower or two. Behind this front, heading into this weekend, we'll see surface high pressure prevail across the region with dry north to northeasterly flow. Fairly benign conditions expected overall. A couple chilly mornings are in store tonight and tomorrow night with lows generally in the low to mid 30s with a few isolated areas hitting the upper 20s. Patchy to widespread frost will be possible with the best coverage expected to be tomorrow night as winds go calm and skies clear out. Make sure that people, pets, pipes and plants are secured over the next couple nights. A slight warm up is expected for the overnight low temps after Wednesday as temps climb into the upper 30s to mid 40s thru Sunday morning. Daytime high temps will be a bit more stable with daytime highs being with coolest tomorrow with widespread mid to upper 50s. Wednesday through Sunday will see a gradual warm up to daytime high temps generally being in the 60s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 100 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Low stratus remains in place, especially across our eastern terminals near VLD. Widespread MVFR/IFR conditions are ongoing. However, some breaks in the stratus across ECP/DHN are leading to VFR/MVFR improvements. As drier air advects in, continued improvements are likely, especially at ECP/DHN and possibly TLH. Later today some improvements to MVFR are possible at VLD. While most terminals improve to VFR overnight, some local MVFR/IFR conditions could redevelop or persist across ABY/VLD as low-stratus is slow to clear. && .MARINE... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 A cold frontal passage today clocks winds around from the north. A Small Craft Advisory is currently in effect through early tonight for winds around 20 knots. A gradual return to more tranquil boating conditions on Tuesday which should last through Friday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Transport winds become weak and easterly on Tuesday leading to low dispersions across most of the region, then become brisk and southwesterly on Wednesday leading to good dispersions again. A moist air mass remains in place today before drier air moves in for midweek with minimum afternoon RHs in the 40s for portions of the area. Outside then the low dispersions Tuesday afternoon, there are currently no other fire weather concerns. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Widespread 2-4 inch amounts with pockets of 4-6 inch amounts in the Eastern FL Panhandle have amounted to some improvement in regional drought conditions. Additional rainfall is not expected over the next week. For more information on local impacts from drought, please visit www.weather.gov/LocalDrought. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 37 58 35 67 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 38 58 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 32 54 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 33 54 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 36 56 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 39 62 36 67 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 41 57 44 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EST /11 PM CST/ tonight for FLZ114. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Tuesday for GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775. && $$ SHORT TERM...Oliver LONG TERM....Oliver AVIATION...Dobbs MARINE...Oliver FIRE WEATHER...Oliver HYDROLOGY...Oliver ####018005024#### FXUS62 KTAE 082123 CCA AFDTAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 420 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 - A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from the Okaloosa/Walton County line to the Ochlockonee River through early tonight. - The work week will feature little or no rain after this morning, along with seasonable temperatures. && .SHORT TERM AND LONG TERM... (This Evening through Sunday) Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Now post-frontal we'll see cool and dry conditions over the next couple days as northerly flow prevails. Wednesday morning the flow turns southerly briefly as another cold front looks to approach the region. However, dew points struggle to recover into the mid 50s, confined mostly to our FL Coastal counties. Thus not much is expected out of this frontal feature as it moves through late Wednesday into Thursday morning, maybe a stray shower or two. Behind this front, heading into this weekend, we'll see surface high pressure prevail across the region with dry north to northeasterly flow. Fairly benign conditions expected overall. A couple chilly mornings are in store tonight and tomorrow night with lows generally in the low to mid 30s with a few isolated areas hitting the upper 20s. Patchy to widespread frost will be possible with the best coverage expected to be tomorrow night as winds go calm and skies clear out. Make sure that people, pets, pipes and plants are secured over the next couple nights. A slight warm up is expected for the overnight low temps after Wednesday as temps climb into the upper 30s to mid 40s thru Sunday morning. Daytime high temps will be a bit more stable with daytime highs being coolest tomorrow with widespread mid to upper 50s. Wednesday through Sunday will see a gradual warm up to daytime high temps generally being in the 60s. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 100 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Low stratus remains in place, especially across our eastern terminals near VLD. Widespread MVFR/IFR conditions are ongoing. However, some breaks in the stratus across ECP/DHN are leading to VFR/MVFR improvements. As drier air advects in, continued improvements are likely, especially at ECP/DHN and possibly TLH. Later today some improvements to MVFR are possible at VLD. While most terminals improve to VFR overnight, some local MVFR/IFR conditions could redevelop or persist across ABY/VLD as low-stratus is slow to clear. && .MARINE... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 A cold frontal passage today clocks winds around from the north. A Small Craft Advisory is currently in effect through early tonight for winds around 20 knots. A gradual return to more tranquil boating conditions on Tuesday which should last through Friday. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Transport winds become weak and easterly on Tuesday leading to low dispersions across most of the region, then become brisk and southwesterly on Wednesday leading to good dispersions again. A moist air mass remains in place today before drier air moves in for midweek with minimum afternoon RHs in the 40s for portions of the area. Outside then the low dispersions Tuesday afternoon, there are currently no other fire weather concerns. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 231 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Widespread 2-4 inch amounts with pockets of 4-6 inch amounts in the Eastern FL Panhandle have amounted to some improvement in regional drought conditions. Additional rainfall is not expected over the next week. For more information on local impacts from drought, please visit www.weather.gov/LocalDrought. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 37 58 35 67 / 0 0 0 0 Panama City 38 58 42 68 / 0 0 0 0 Dothan 32 54 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 Albany 33 54 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Valdosta 36 56 31 64 / 0 0 0 0 Cross City 39 62 36 67 / 0 0 0 0 Apalachicola 41 57 44 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EST /11 PM CST/ tonight for FLZ114. GA...None. AL...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST /midnight CST/ Tuesday for GMZ751-752-755-770-772-775. && $$ SHORT TERM...Oliver LONG TERM....Oliver AVIATION...Dobbs MARINE...Oliver FIRE WEATHER...Oliver HYDROLOGY...Oliver