####018005475#### FXUS61 KILN 111623 AFDILN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1123 AM EST Thu Dec 11 2025 .SYNOPSIS... A clipper will bring snow to the area tonight with the highest totals near the Tri State. Another system will bring snow to the area on Saturday evening as arctic air settles into the region from Saturday night through Monday. Temperatures moderate next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... A clipper type system will move through the Ohio Valley tonight into Friday morning. Widespread snowfall will occur as the system moves across the area. The onset of snow in eastern Indiana, northern Kentucky, and western Ohio is likely after 8pm this evening before overspreading east tonight. Snow slowly ends around the morning rush hour on Friday. CAM and global ensemble guidance continues to highlight the largest snowfall totals likely occurring in a band just southwest of the Tri-State. In these parts of northern Kentucky and eastern Indiana, upwards of 4 inches of snow are possible by sunrise Friday. Snowfall totals dropoff as you go northeast of the Tri State tapering toward the 1" range around Wilmington to an inch or less as you move toward Columbus and locations north of Dayton. Some places in the far north and east may not see much, if any, appreciable snow at all. Travel impacts are likely to be maximized southwest of the Cincinnati metro. However, the Cincinnati area commute likely experiences some degree of impact. A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for locations where snowfall and at least some degree of travel impacts are expected tonight into Friday morning. Temperatures will rise to near or slightly above freezing during the day on Friday. These warmer temperatures should aid with road treatments and improving travel conditions through the day after snowfall ends. Sky conditions remain cloudy with variable northerly winds. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... A brief dry period is expected to occur Friday night through mid day Saturday before the next system moves in from the northwest. By late Saturday afternoon and early Saturday evening, a widespread area of snow moves in from the northwest before ending early Sunday morning. Snowfall totals of 2-4 inches are supported by ensemble guidance with the possibility of higher band setting up somewhere south of I- 70. This snowfall guidance may end up being on the lower end since snow ratios are likely to be greater than the assumed 10:1 in the probabilistic guidance due to the saturation overlapping a favorable thermal profile with cold air moving in. It should be noted, with temperatures tumbling as the snow tapers off and winds increasing, travel impacts from this second round of snow may last longer and be more substantial when compared to the recent events this season. Forecast lows Saturday night drop off to the single digits with wind chills below zero area wide. The combination of snow, wind, and cold will make Saturday night an unfavorable time to be outside or traveling. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... High pressure builds into the region on Sunday. Very cold air will be in place east side of the high under northerly flow throughout the day. Forecast highs only reach into the teens with wind chills remaining near or below zero all day. Forecast lows on Sunday night drop below zero west of I-75 and are in the single digits east of I- 75. Wind chills won't be as cold Sunday night since winds will go calm as the high passes overhead. Preparations for very cold conditions should be made for the Saturday night through Monday morning timeframe. On Monday, the surface high shifts east. With the surface high to the east, temperatures moderate through midweek thanks to developing southerly flow. Rain chances return by Wednesday. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... A mixture of VFR and MVFR ceilings persist through the afternoon into the early evening. After 0300z, snow moves in from the west. IFR and LIFR ceilings are likely at KCVG/KLUK which is where the heaviest snow is forecast tonight. IFR ceilings are likely at KDAY and KILN along with MVFR/IFR visibilities which is where light snow is forecast. KCMH/KLCK may only experience MVFR ceiling and visibility reductions with brief,light periods of snow as the shield of precipitation may remain to the southwest. Snow quickly pulls east around 1200z Friday. The rest of Friday has VFR visibilities after the snow ends with ceilings improving to the MVFR category. Light westerly winds remain in place through 0000z. Winds become light and variable tonight and persist for the rest of the TAF period. OUTLOOK...Snow with MVFR to IFR conditions possible through Saturday night. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for OHZ070>073-077>082-088. KY...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for KYZ089>100. IN...Winter Weather Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday for INZ058-059-066-073>075-080. && $$ SYNOPSIS... NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM... LONG TERM... AVIATION...