####018003868#### FXUS61 KRNK 161800 AFDRNK Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 200 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... Updated the forecast given recent guidance. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) While very warm/hot conditions prevail, areas of smoke will likely suppress daytime high temperatures through Friday and resultant heat indices stay below advisory criteria. 2) Scattered daily afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms return tomorrow into midweek. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...While very warm/hot conditions prevail, areas of smoke will likely suppress daytime high temperatures through Friday and resultant heat indices stay below advisory criteria. The upper ridge of high pressure has dampened, however the enhanced moisture field stays to our south and west and the dry heat continues today. Canadian smoke continues to likely filter out some of the sun across the eastern CWA which should keep afternoon highs slightly lower and resultant heat indices should stay mainly in the low 100s outside of advisory level. Tomorrow looks to be a similar story for the east, though as the ridge slides more eastward some moisture could creep into the west and with daytime heating and orographic lift the mountains could see some isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. KEY MESSAGE 2...Scattered daily afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms return tomorrow into midweek. While convective potential looks to remain primarily across the mountains for Friday afternoon/evening, an upper shortwave and attendant sfc boundary will approach the area for Saturday and allow for more widespread shower and storm development. Shear parameters are not very impressive though with the upper forcing from the wave and healthy progged instability of 3000+ J/kg there is potential for strong to severe development with the main threat of damaging downburst winds. SPC currently has parts of the north and east in a Day 3 Slight Risk with a Marginal Risk elsewhere. The frontal boundary may stall near the south and east portions of the area going into Sunday, which would focus the greatest chances of precip. There may be an increased flooding threat with possible training of storms along the boundary. The first part of the work week looks to be supportive of general chances for daytime showers/storms, then more organized or widespread development could occur again Wednesday with another upper wave and sfc front potentially traversing the area. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... VFR conditions thru forecast period except morning fog potential for LWB in the morning. Otherwise mostly clear skies with possible haze aloft from smoke today and again Friday mainly in the east and FEW/SCT daytime cu field near 4-6 kft. Chances for isolated showers and storms for mountain sites just beyond the forecast period Friday afternoon. Winds generally light varying across the sites becoming calm overnight then increasing out of the northeast Friday for LYH and DAN staying under 10 kts. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK... Shower and storms chances become more widespread across the area into the weekend and early next week, with potential sub- MVFR or conditions. Mountain valley fog/low stratus will also be possible each morning. Expect an easterly component to the wind Friday, with gusts below 15 kts. A westerly wind with speeds between 6 and 12 kts develops Saturday and Sunday, with gusts to 25 kts or so. && .RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VA...None. NC...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for NCZ004>006. WV...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...AB AVIATION...AB/SH ####018002240#### FXUS63 KGID 161801 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 101 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Spotty showers and perhaps a weak thunderstorm remain possible this afternoon and early evening. Most areas will stay dry. - Increasingly warm conditions return and high temperatures peak near 100 degrees on Sunday and Monday. - Better rain chances return to the area mid to late next week (July 22-25th). && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 101 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 The primary change in this forecast was the addition of isolated sprinkles/showers to the forecast for this afternoon. This is most favorable over the eastern half of the area. There is enough instability that a few rumbles of thunder are not out of the question as well. Shear is very weak, so updrafts will be short-lived and non-severe. All in all, impacts will be minimal, and the overwhelming majority of the area is expected to remain dry. Otherwise, ridging will continue to favor mostly dry and increasingly warm conditions through the weekend. Temperatures on both Sunday and Monday could approach 100 degrees with heat index values near 105 degrees in many areas. Of the two days, Monday looks to be the "peak," before a pattern shift for the middle to end of next week. Models favor a more active pattern for the middle to end of next week. But, to be fair, it isn't particularly hard to be more active than this week has been. The EPS favors slightly above-normal precip totals in the 5-10 day range, but the other global ensembles are not quite as optimistic. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1227 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: VFR conditions are favored through the period. SCT-BKN cumulus continues this afternoon. An isolated shower cannot be ruled out, but the probability for this to impact EAR/GRI is low (10%). The potential for MVFR vis Friday morning (5-10%) is lower than previous mornings. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Mangels AVIATION...Mangels ####018004679#### FXUS64 KSJT 161802 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 102 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some producing very heavy rainfall, today through Friday. Excessive rainfall and flooding possible with the highest risk over the southern third of the area. - A Flood Watch in effect for the Northern Edwards Plateau, Northwest Hill Country, Heartland, and Concho Concho Valley into Nolan County until 7 PM Friday. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 A weak upper low will continue to migrate slowly west into west and southwest Texas by tonight. West Central Texas will be on the eastern periphery of the upper low, a favorable setup for additional heavy rainfall. Precipitable water (PWAT) values will continue to range between 1.5 and 2.0 inches, highest over the Heartland and northwest Hill Country counties. This will contribute to very heavy rainfall again today and tonight, with a continued threat for flash flooding, some of which may be significant and life threatening. The greatest threat for flash flooding today will be across the southern one third of the forecast area, roughly south of a Barnhart to Mason line, where a moderate risk for excessive rainfall exists. Rainfall rates of 2 to 3 inches per hour are likely with the heaviest convection, with rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches possible, especially in the moderate risk area. Cooler temperatures will continue again today, with highs in the low to mid 80s. Lows tonight will be in the upper 60s and lower 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Wednesday) Issued at 118 AM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 The upper low is expected to be over West Texas near Midland around 7 AM Friday, and to move slowly west to near Kermit by Friday evening. The low is expected to weaken and make little further westward progress on Saturday. Showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain will be likely Friday over mainly the western half of our area. While our western counties will have a lingering low (20-30 percent) chance of showers and storms on Saturday, the trend will be for diminishing rain chances in our area over the weekend. Highs Friday should be limited to mostly the 80s for highs across our area. With a little more sunshine on Saturday, highs are expected to range from the mid 80s in the Northern Edwards Plateau, to the lower 90s in the Big Country north of I-20. Drier conditions and a return to hotter temperatures is indicated Sunday into the middle of next week, most notably for the northern part of our area. An upper level ridge is progged to gradually expand and strengthen from the central Rockies across the southern Plains and into the northern half of Texas. By midweek the high could be centered over the Red River. Highs Sunday are forecast to range from the upper 80s in our southern counties to mid 90s in the northern Big Country. By Wednesday, forecast highs range from the lower 90s in the Northern Edwards Plateau, to 100-102 degrees in most of the Big Country. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 102 PM CDT Thu Jul 16 2026 SHRA and TSRA have largely ended across most TAF sites early this afternoon. We are expecting to see additional showers and storms later tonight, likely starting after 00Z this evening, and continuing through late tonight. So, have kept the PROB30 groups for overnight thunderstorms with lowered CIGs and visibilities in the forecasts. MVFR ceilings are expected to move in later tonight, and after the rain ends for our southern sites. Other than thunderstorm gusts, winds will remain south to southeasterly around 10 knots with a few gusts to around 20 knots during afternoon periods. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 70 86 71 89 / 60 50 20 10 San Angelo 68 85 69 87 / 80 70 30 20 Junction 69 86 70 88 / 70 20 20 0 Brownwood 70 86 71 89 / 60 20 20 0 Sweetwater 68 84 70 88 / 70 80 20 20 Ozona 67 83 69 85 / 90 80 20 30 Brady 68 84 69 87 / 60 10 20 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch through Friday evening for Brown-Coke-Coleman-Concho- Crockett-Irion-Kimble-Mason-McCulloch-Menard-Nolan-Runnels-San Saba-Schleicher-Sterling-Sutton-Tom Green. && $$ SHORT TERM...24 LONG TERM....19 AVIATION...20 ####018003199#### FXUS63 KUNR 161802 AFDUNR Area Forecast Discussion For Western SD and Northeastern WY National Weather Service Rapid City SD 1202 PM MDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - It will remain hot through the weekend with elevated to near critical fire weather conditions. - Still a chance for isolated thunderstorms today and Friday, mainly across the Black Hills and parts of northeast Wyoming. Thunderstorms become a little more numerous this weekend. - Slightly cooler conditions finally look to return for next week. && .DISCUSSION...(This Afternoon Through Wednesday) Issued at 1135 AM MDT Thu Jul 16 2026 18Z upper level analysis has persistent ridge across the central CONUS with upper low spinning off the Pacific Northwest coast. Skies are mostly clear across the forecast area, with some isolated thunderstorm development occurring over the Black Hills. At the surface, there is a weak cool front that has moved into northwestern SD and northeastern WY, evident by a shift to light northerly winds in those areas. Temperatures at noon across the forecast area range from the 80s along and west of the cool front, to the low to mid 90s east of the front. Temperatures are still expected to top out in the mid 90s to low 100s across the area this afternoon, warmest east of the Black Hills. Isolated storms are expected across the Black Hills and parts of northeast Wyoming this afternoon, with some storms persisting into the evening hours. Lows tonight will be in the 60s to lower 70s. Upper ridge remains nearly stationary through Friday with temperatures similar to today. Weak cold frontal boundary will slowly drop through the area, with light northeast to east winds expected across the area. Models/CAMS are showing a little better chance for scattered thunderstorms over the Black Hills and northeast Wyoming Friday afternoon, with mainly dry conditions persisting across the SD plains. Very mild temperatures persist into the overnight hours. Upper ridge shifts a bit east over the weekend. Very warm temperatures will persist across the area, but storm chances become a little better as upper flow becomes more westerly with some weak impulses crossing the Northern Plains. West to northwest flow becomes a little stronger early next week. This will lead to slightly cooler conditions and a little more unsettled weather for next week. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS Through 18Z Friday) Issued At 1121 AM MDT Thu Jul 16 2026 VFR conditions are forecast for the terminal locations through the valid period. Isolated/Widely scattered thunderstorms may develop this afternoon/evening across the Black Hills with locally gusty winds possible. Little confidence of them affecting TAF locations however. && .UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SD...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT /10 PM CDT/ this evening for SDZ001- 002-012>014-025>027-030>032-041>044-046-047-049-072>078. WY...Heat Advisory until 9 PM MDT this evening for WYZ054>056-058>060. && $$ DISCUSSION...15 AVIATION...Hintz ####018005882#### FXUS66 KPQR 161804 AAA AFDPQR Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Portland OR 1103 AM PDT Thu Jul 16 2026 Updated aviation and marine discussions. Updated PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. .SYNOPSIS...Chance for showers and storms through the morning as an upper low moves over the area. Precipitation dwindles through the afternoon, from south to north. Cooler on today, then heating up and drying out over the weekend into Wednesday. && .SHORT TERM...Now through Friday Night...The closed upper level low over the northeast Pacific has started to shift onshore, bringing increased monsoonal moisture and elevated instability. This is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms moving south to north across far northwest Oregon and southwest Washington. Elevated instability sits above 750-650 mb with 400-600 j/kg or CAPE. While this is definitely enough to produce showers and thunderstorms, shear is generally lacking as winds up to 500 mb are unidirectional thus limiting the threat for severe storms. Hi-res models depict scattered activity letting up from south to north late this morning and into the afternoon. Given the convective nature of the precipitation, QPF totals will vary widely across the area with some places possibly remaining dry while others receive a tenth or two. Chances for 0.25 inches of rain continue to decrease with areas south of Salem at less than 5%, 20- 30% around the Portland metro and Cascades, and the highest potential along the coast and coast range at 40-60%. Precipitation chances dissipate this evening as forcing and instability decrease as the upper low drifts northward. Expect lingering thunderstorms to lift northward out of southwest Washington through early this afternoon. Pleasant highs in the upper 70s expected for the interior lowlands as the upper low supports more cloud cover and lower 500 mb heights over the area. Friday will see a 3-5 degree warm-up inland with highs jumping into the low 80s as the upper low continues northward and 500 mb heights rebound over the region. -19 .LONG TERM...Saturday through Wednesday...WPC cluster analysis shows decent agreement in the 500 mb pattern heading into the weekend. Ridging over the central CONUS is expected to rebuild into the PacNW, supporting a warming trend Saturday and into next week. The interior lowlands can expect highs in the mid 80s on Saturday, building into the upper 80s to low 90s for Sunday and beyond. In this pattern, marine stratus is likely, especially along the coast though it could transition down the Columbia River into the interior lowlands. If cloud cover becomes pervasive, it will have an impact on high temperatures and minimum humidity. There is some spread among the NBM in exact high temperatures, ranging from the low 80s to mid 90s in the 10th-90th percentiles so could see adjustments moving forward. Models and ensembles continue to back off on the upper 90s heading into next week. The trend is warm but not extreme heat at this point. Moderate HeatRisk is most likely at this point with major HeatRisk potential continuing to decrease. Still, there is a 5-15% chance for major HeatRisk Monday through Wednesday, mainly over the Portland metro, Columbia River Gorge, and portions of the lower Columbia and Cowlitz valleys. -19/27 && .AVIATION...Southerly flow aloft will continue as an upper level low spins offshore through today. Marine stratus persists along the coast with MVFR CIGs. There is a 50-70% chance for IFR CIGs along the coast through 18Z before dropping off significantly. A stronger marine push is bringing a 30-50% chance of MVFR CIGs at most inland terminals, except around 60-80% at KEUG after 12z. Any lowered CIGs inland should improve to VFR by 19-21z Thu. The upper low moving over the area will bring a chance for showers and elevated thunderstorms through the afternoon north of Salem. Best chances along the Coast Range and Coast between 12-18z. Main impact with any thunderstorms is abundant lightning along with brief erratic and gusty winds. Smoke aloft is moving north into NW OR and SW WA from a wildfire in southern OR north of KMFR. This may at times produce a BKN layer around 15-25 kft. KPDX AND APPROACHES...VFR expected through at least 12z. Chances for MVFR stratus increase to around 40-50% between 14-19z as a deepening marine layer pushes inland. There is also a 15-20% chance of elevated showers or thunderstorms through 18z. Conditions are expected to improve back to VFR this afternoon. Light winds becoming southwesterly to around 10 kt late in the morning. -19/DH && .MARINE...Benign conditions with a typical summertime pattern expected through the week. Northerly winds 10-15 kt expected with afternoon gusts reaching to around 20 kt each day. Seas could be choppy at times with heights 4-6 feet but could see some 7-8 foot seas at 8-10 seconds on Sunday. There is a 30-60% chance for Small Craft Advisory (SCA) criteria winds for all waters Saturday afternoon into Sunday. A SCA is in effect until 10AM for rough seas within the Columbia River Bar due to a very strong ebb current leading to seas of 6 to 7 ft. Another SCA for strong ebb current and choppy seas Friday morning from 4 AM to 10 AM. -19 && .PQR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. WA...None. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM PDT this morning for PZZ210. Small Craft Advisory from 4 AM to 10 AM PDT Friday for PZZ210. && $$ www.weather.gov/portland Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSPortland x.com/NWSPortland ####018004428#### FXUS63 KIWX 161804 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 204 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - A heat advisory is in effect for a portion of the area today. The threat for hot conditions continues through the end of the week. - Hazy to smoky conditions possible today from Canadian wildfire smoke. - Chances for showers and storms return late this week into this weekend, primarily during the afternoon and evening hours. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 301 AM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 Bit of bad news in the forecaster realm as the NOAA GOES East, GOES-19 satellite has had an unexpected outage and currently remains down leaving us a bit blind right now with no imagery data since around 22z yesterday. This is obviously not good especially with hurricane season upon us and hopefully the engineers can get it back up and running. In the shorter term this has hampered our observations of the Canadian smoke that has pushed into the region over the last day or so. Skies will continue to look smokey and hazy today. A slow moving cool front is pushing southward into the area today and due to the frontal boundary did issue a heat advisory for areas mainly south of US-30 today with the slightly cooler and drier air to the north and the upper level smokiness that looks to keep temperatures a couple of degrees cooler than otherwise with the decrease in solar insolation. Over the next several days we will see shortwaves transiting eastward around the ridge and into the area with one later today just skirting to our south of our area but could cause a few showers with a few rumbles of thunder possible over our southwestern portions of our area. The better chances for showers/storms look to come on Friday and Saturday with each day with more pronounced troughing pushing into the area. The better chances will be during the afternoon/early evening periods. A few of the storms may become strong with gusty outflows and heavy downpours the main threats. These disturbances will bring cooler temperatures and dew points back below 70 from Sunday into next week. A break in precipitation will also arrive on Sunday as the ridging makes another slight push northeastward into the region before longwave troughing begins to push into the Great Lakes on Monday into Tuesday bringing another shot of showers and storms into the area. By Tuesday and into the end of next week near to below normal temperatures return bringing a better reprieve to the heat lately. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 200 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 Deteriorating conditions have been noted at terminals through early this afternoon, particularly at KSBN which has transitioned to IFR vsbys in smoke from Canadian wildfires. Forecast confidence in vsby trends is on the low side, although concern that is that at least MVFR vsbys will linger through much of this TAF period. The possibility exists for some improvement at KSBN late afternoon/early evening to MVFR, but would expect some early morning Friday deterioration with smoke/br combination. A short wave trough approaching from the west will allow a weak boundary across north central IL/west central IN to retreat northeast as a warm frontal feature on Friday. This should tend to help improve sfc vsbys toward end of this forecast valid period, but will result in increased risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ Friday night for INZ005>009-012>015-017-018-022>027-032>034-104-116- 204-216. Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for INZ013-015-020- 022>027-032>034. Air Quality Alert from midnight tonight to midnight EDT Friday night for INZ020. Air Quality Alert until midnight CDT Friday night for INZ103- 203. OH...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for OHZ001-002- 004-005-015-016-024-025. MI...Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT Friday night for MIZ078>081-177-277. MARINE...Dense Smoke Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for LMZ043-046. && $$ DISCUSSION...Roller AVIATION...Marsili ####018006351#### FXUS61 KCTP 161804 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 204 PM EDT Thu Jul 16 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Code Purple air quality alert issued for northwest PA today * Lowered temperatures and dewpoints into the weekend to account for smoke layer, clouds/t-storms, and systematic model bias && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Wildfire smoke from Ontario and northern Minnesota will result in unhealthy air quality and reduced visibility today and Friday 2) Monitoring potential for strong thunderstorms across the southern tier of central PA late this afternoon/early evening 3) Strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible Saturday afternoon and evening && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Wildfire smoke from Ontario and northern Minnesota will result in unhealthy air quality and reduced visibility today and Friday Widespread smoke continues to reduce visibility (generally 1-3 miles in FU and HZ) and drop AQIs from north to south this afternoon. PA DEP will upgrade a portion of northwest PA to code purple for very unhealthy air quality (AQIs 201-300). Code red air quality alert continues for the rest of the Commonwealth through the remainder of today. Code orange air quality is forecast for Friday, but may be upgraded later today. These alerts are based on predicted 24 hour averages. Individual hours may see worse air quality. Incremental adjustments to daytime temperatures: 1) lower through Friday due to the extensive smoke layer 2) lower on Saturday due to projected early arrival of clouds and rain showers. Lower adjustments were made to dewpoints across the board due to systematic NBM model bias. Max heat index values may briefly touch 100 degrees in parts of the Lower Susquehanna Valley early this afternoon before dewpoints mix out a few degrees behind NW downslope flow. KEY MESSAGE 2: Monitoring potential for strong thunderstorms across the southern tier of central PA late this afternoon/early evening Mesoanalysis shows plenty of MLCAPE available in southern PA with hot temps and rich low level moisture in place. Sfc front is about to push southward through State College/KUNV with dewpoints in the upper 50s to the NW. Forecast soundings show 30-40 kt of effective bulk shear and steep low-level lapse rates present south of the front. This environment would generally support organized cells/line segments. However, overall thunderstorm coverage remains uncertain given that stronger forcing for ascent should remain mostly north of the warm sector. Additionally, it is uncertain to what extent that smoke may continue to have a negative impact on an otherwise favorable environment for severe thunderstorms. KEY MESSAGE 3: Strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall are possible Saturday afternoon and evening A potent cold front trailing a deepening sfc low tracking up the St. Lawrence River Valley is expected to trigger one or more rounds thunderstorms Saturday afternoon and evening. Southwesterly low-level flow ahead of the front will transport a very moist, high PW airmass into CPA. Strong synoptic forcing, driven by an amplifying trough over the Northeast and favorable upper jet dynamics, will support the potential for heavy rain rates to produce isolated runoff/flash flooding concerns. WPC may update the D3 excessive rainfall outlook one category from level 1 MRGL to level 2 SLGT with the late afternoon cycles. SPC level 2/5 severe thunderstorm risk continues cover most of central PA for day 3/Saturday. As thunderstorms initiate along the front, outflows may eventually congeal into one or more linear clusters posing a threat for damaging winds. Reduced instability may be a limiting factor if clouds and showers persist from early in the day. A drying trend is expected Sunday with noticeably lower humidity allowing for a pleasant day and relatively cool night. Additional bouts of rain/t-storms are possible into the workweek. Temperatures will trend near to below historical averages through late week with some noticeable cooler nights possible. && .AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Smoke from fires up in Canada and northern Minnesota will be across the area through today and likely into Friday. For Central and Northern airfields (BFD/JST/AOO), smoke will transition from mostly elevated at 08z Friday to more sfc level through the day on today as smoke advects SE across the region. For eastern airfields (IPT/UNV/MDT/LNS), sfc level smoke already moved into IPT behind a cold front that pushed through earlier Wed evening. This smoke is expected to move south into at least LNS by 4z. MDT and UNV will be on the western periphery of this batch of smoke, but likely will also see vsby drop later tonight. The eastern airfields will see a reinforcing shot of sfc level smoke come in from the west in the late afternoon or early evening on Thursday. Aside from smoke, there may also be some valley fog late tonight into Thursday morning mainly in the north. With a cold front across the southern tier of PA by 18z today, can't rule out a few pop-up showers or thundershowers (10 pct chc at JST, MDT, LNS) otherwise dry through the TAF period. Outlook... Fri AM...Mainly VFR, with areas of late night/AM fog. Some reduced visibility possible from smoke, with an isolated late- day SHRA/TSRA possible. Fri PM-Sun...Chance of showers and t-storms, mainly during the afternoon hours on Saturday into early Sunday aft. Mon...Mainly VFR. && .EQUIPMENT... GOES-19/GOES-EAST recovery update: operations resumed at 1630Z. Engineers are currently working to restore the Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) with imaging expected to resume by 19-20Z. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Air Quality Alert until midnight EDT tonight for PAZ004>006- 010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066. && $$ WHAT HAS CHANGED...Steinbugl KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl DISCUSSION...Steinbugl AVIATION...Teare EQUIPMENT...Steinbugl