####018007224#### FXUS66 KSEW 151806 AFDSEW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Seattle WA 1038 AM PDT Fri May 15 2026 .SYNOPSIS...A very cool upper level trough will move over Western Washington today and remain over the area through Saturday night. Upper level ridge building offshore Sunday with Western Washington on the backside of the ridge through the middle of next week. && .UPDATE...A broad area of precipitation is making its way across western Washington late this morning. Destabilization could lead to thunderstorm activity today with at least a 15-20% chance of thunder area wide, meanwhile the best chances (25-35%) will be along the coast and into the north interior. Lightning, small hail, and brief heavy downpours will be the primary hazards. A Winter Weather Advisory was added for the mountains of western Washington above 4000 feet. This was put out mainly as a heads up for those with outdoor recreation plans today through Saturday night. Snow showers and thunderstorms cannot be ruled out. Road travel conditions could see minor temporary impacts, but generally ground temperatures will be warm enough to limit road accumulation. Widespread chances for thunder exist through Saturday, though the focus of the convective potential will shift into the central Puget Sound south through SW Washington (peaking in the 25-35% range). -Wolcott && .SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Satellite imagery shows mostly cloudy skies over Western Washington early this morning. Doppler radar has widely scattered showers mainly over the northern portion of the area. Temperatures at 2 am/09z were in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Main story for the next two days is the very cool upper level trough over Western Washington. The trough will move over the area today and remain into Saturday night. Temperatures aloft very cold for this time of year with 500 mb temperatures dropping below -30C tonight into Saturday. Even with plenty of cloud cover and little daytime heating the very cold air aloft will create unstable conditions especially this afternoon through Saturday. Lifted indexes in the plus 2 to minus 2 range, convective temperatures both this afternoon and Saturday afternoon below the predicted high temperatures, lapse rates with the very cold air aloft in the plus 7 to 8C/km. All this adds up to showers through Saturday with a chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Snow levels, already low near 4000 feet this morning, lowering to 3000 to 3500 feet tonight and Saturday. Could see a couple of inches of snow at the summit of Stevens Pass while higher up Paradise on Mount Rainier looking at 4 to 8 inches of new snow the next two days. Highs in the lower to mid 50s today and mid to upper 50s Saturday. Highs today will only be a couple of degrees warmer than record low maximums. Lows tonight in the upper 30s to mid 40s. Upper level trough weakening Saturday night and moving out of the area Sunday. Convective activity coming to an end Saturday evening. A few breaks in the clouds cover will allow temperatures to drop into the mid 30s in the colder locations Sunday morning. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s for the remainder of the area. Upper level ridge building offshore Sunday. Plenty of low level moisture over Western Washington combined with light flow in the lower levels will make it hard for the sun to break through especially in the morning. As the marine layer thins in the afternoon some sunshine will get highs into the upper 50s to mid 60s. Felton && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Models in good agreement with the upper level ridge remaining in place at least through Tuesday. Differences in the model solutions beginning Wednesday with some solutions moving the ridge inland over Western Washington while other solutions keep the ridge axis offshore. Either scenario keeps the weather dry over the area. The ridge axis moving overhead would result in a little warmer days. For now with the uncertainty will keep highs just a couple of degrees above normal Wednesday and Thursday, in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs Monday and Tuesday in the 60s. Lows in the 40s through the period. && .AVIATION... W/SW flow aloft through tonight, veering to the NW Saturday morning. At low levels, S winds for all but the coast, where winds are W. Speeds ranging 10-15 kts with gusts up to 25 kts. VFR conditions with areas of MVFR conditions with showers, with some recovery after 22Z allowing more widespread low-end VFR, except for those locations with lingering precipitation. KSEA...MVFR conditions with light rain. Some improvement expected during the afternoon. Southwesterly winds throughout the TAF period with speeds 8-12 kts this morning, becoming 10-15 kts with gusts to 25 kts this afternoon and early evening before easing tonight. For Saturday, HiRes ensembles consistently showing the development of a PSCZ Saturday afternoon with a 40-50% chance of northerly winds at the terminal by 3pm, and higher odds by 5-6PM. In addition, there is 15 to 20% chance of lightning with the convergence zone through the same period. && .MARINE... Onshore flow will continue over the weekend which will allow for daily pushes through the Strait of Juan De Fuca. However, given the more southwesterly flow of winds...they may not see such a strong push today...that remains on track for Saturday though. These southwesterly winds however do look to trigger advisory level winds for the Puget Sound for much of the day today before easing by this evening. As such, an SCA has gone out with the morning forecast package. Near-shore seas will steadily increase today, likely topping out at 7 to 9 ft. The outer waters however will see more significant increases, reaching 9 to 12 ft late tonight and persisting throughout much of Saturday. As such, have issued an SCA this morning to cover this high seas threat. Seas might be slow to regress, but they are expected to slowly ease back down to 7 to 9 ft Sunday morning. 18 && .HYDROLOGY... The daily hydrology discussion has ended until the start of the next rainy season; it will only be updated during this time as needed. && .SEW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Winter Weather Advisory until 8 AM PDT Sunday for Cascades of Pierce and Lewis Counties-Cascades of Snohomish and Northern King Counties-Cascades of Southern King County- Cascades of Whatcom and Skagit Counties-Olympics. PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM PDT this evening for Puget Sound and Hood Canal. Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM PDT Saturday for Coastal Waters From Cape Flattery To James Island 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From James Island To Point Grenville 10 To 60 Nm-Coastal Waters From Point Grenville To Cape Shoalwater 10 To 60 Nm. && $$ ####018008805#### FXUS63 KBIS 151806 AFDBIS Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Bismarck ND 106 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Critical fire weather conditions continue today through this evening for all of western and central North Dakota, including the James River Valley. - Strong winds will persist today through this evening. Patchy to areas of blowing dust may also return today. - Isolated thunderstorms possible this afternoon and evening in the north, otherwise dry conditions will continue through Saturday. - High chances (60 to 80 percent) for showers and a few thunderstorms Saturday night through Monday. The highest chances are during the day Sunday. - Near to below freezing temperatures may return to parts of the area beginning tonight. The highest probabilities for low temperatures below freezing temperatures are Monday and Tuesday nights. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026 Windy conditions continues across the state with the strongest winds across the north. Some high based showers are moving into the western half of the state. Updated PoPs to match the current conditions. UPDATE Issued at 955 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026 The mixing height will continue to increase today which will mix stronger wind down to the surface. Winds will decrease across the state this afternoon as the upper low moves out of the region. Satellite imagery is showing so areas of blowing dust across southern Manitoba. No updates are need at this time. UPDATE Issued at 637 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026 Limited updates needed this morning. Some weak radar returns are showing up on the NDARB Bowman Radar in the southwest. This is likely virga given the dry air in place, however added in some sprinkles for the next few hours. Winds will start to increase this morning, with Wind Advisory winds still expected today. Thus left the wind highlights as is. Overall the forecast remains on track. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 359 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026 Upper level low will continue to push across southern Canada today, bringing mainly dry and windy conditions to the state. Winds today may not be as strong as yesterday, although should still increase through the morning and hit advisory level by this afternoon. Areas near the International Border remain close to a strong 850 mb and 700 mb jet today, although the best cold air advection and pressure rises do not occur until a secondary frontal passage this evening. Thus confidence in High Wind Warning criteria today is not high. Decided to cancel the previous High Wind Warning and issue a Wind Advisory for the entire CWA today. Winds may delay increasing today, yet sustained winds 24 to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph are still forecast. This could bring some more blowing dust. With winds slightly lower today, will mention this in the current wind highlights. If blowing dust brings widespread impacts then perhaps more blowing dust highlights are needed today. RH values will remain low today, and combined with the mentioned winds, will bring critical fire weather conditions. Thus will keep the Red Flag Warning as is. SPC now has a general risk for thunderstorms in the north today. A cold front will move across this area later today through tonight. When it does some some weak instability may be enough for a few isolated thunderstorms. The chance for wetting rain is slow, and main concern with any thunderstorms today would be an isolated strong wind gust to 60 mph given the dry inverted-v soundings. Temperatures will remain above normal today and generally in the 70s to lower 80s. Tonight, the mentioned weak front will move through and stall. The upper low in southern Canada will also push east. This will lessen the gradient and diminish winds. Any thunderstorms that develop should also diminish shortly after sunset. Lows tonight will be much cooler and generally in the mid 30s to mid 40s. Some frost is possible in the northwest. A passing ridge then looks to bring dry and mild conditions for Saturday. Winds will generally be light to start the day, then change to a breezy southerly wind. Depending on timing of this increased southerly wind some near critical fire weather conditions are possible across the south as afternoon RH values fall into the lower 20s in these areas. Otherwise look for highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s across much of the area on Saturday. A broad trough and developing surface low lee of the northern Rockies could then bring chances for showers and isolated thunderstorms Saturday night. Breezy winds will also continue through the night, while lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s are found. This broad trough pattern then looks to be found Sunday through early to mid next week. The result will be cooler temperatures, breezy winds, and daily chances for rain showers. In the 48 hour period from Sunday through Monday, NBM has 40 to 80 percent chance of at least 0.5" across much of the CWA with some medium chances for an inch of qpf in southeastern portions of the state. The NBM also has low chances for snow mixing in across scattered areas during the cooler morning periods Monday and Tuesday. This wetter pattern will also bring cooler temperatures to North Dakota. Highs in the 40s and 50s north to the 60s south on Sunday will drop down into the mid 40s to mid 50s Monday through Tuesday. The possibility of freezing conditions will also be found Monday through Wednesday mornings and will need to be monitored for frost/freeze products. Temperatures could rebound by the middle of the week as another subtle ridge moves across the region, which may also bring some dry conditions. The extended model guidance still showing perhaps have a more active pattern return by the end of next week. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1257 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026 VFR conditions will continue across the state. Westerly winds persist across the region with gusty conditions at all terminals. There is some blowing dust being lofted across the northern half of the state, however there is not dust impacting any TAF terminals at this time. Winds are forecast to decrease this evening. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 359 AM CDT FRI May 15 2026 Critical fire weather conditions will continue today through this evening due to strong winds and low relative humidity. Lighter yet steady westerly winds will go on the increase this morning and remain strong, with sustained winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph, this afternoon into this evening. Dry conditions will continue today, with afternoon humidity values as low as 15 percent. Weak instability in the north could bring a few isolated thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The chances for a wetting rain are low, although gusty and erratic winds will be possible. Patchy to areas of blowing dust may also return today. Winds will diminish tonight, with cooler temperatures bringing better humidity recoveries of around 60 to 80 percent. Mainly dry conditions look to continue for Saturday. Winds will start out around 5 to 10 mph and variable in direction, changing to an increased southerly flow later in the day and through the night. Depending on timing and strength of this increased southerly flow, some near critical fire weather conditions are possible across southern North Dakota as south southeast winds approach 20 mph and afternoon humidity values remain in the upper teens to lower 20s. Cooler temperatures, improved humidity values, and increased chances for precipitation will then be found Sunday into early next week. Breezy to windy conditions may continue at times during this period. There remain high probabilities for 0.5 inches of rain across much of the state and up to 1 inch in the southeast. Next week looks to start out cool keeping minimum relative humidity on the higher side. && .BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051. Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening for NDZ001>005-009-010-012-013-017-018-031>033-040-041-043-044-055- 056. Wind Advisory until 9 PM CDT /8 PM MDT/ this evening for NDZ019-020-022-023-025-035>037-042-046>048-050-051-057>062. && $$ UPDATE...Anglin/Johnson DISCUSSION...Anglin AVIATION...Johnson FIRE WEATHER...Anglin ####018004570#### FXUS65 KVEF 151808 AFDVEF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Las Vegas NV 1107 AM PDT Fri May 15 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... * Impactful winds and cooler temperatures are expected this weekend as a trough moves across the region. && .DISCUSSION...through Thursday. Today's weather features high temperatures 5 to 10 degrees above normal and modest winds aside from gusty westerly winds in western San Bernardino County. The next system arrives as a shortwave traverses the Great Basin on Saturday, followed by a stronger area of low pressure dropping south and east on Sunday and Monday. Saturday's winds will take a southwesterly direction across much of the Mojave Desert as the base of the shortwave moves overhead, while winds in the southern Great Basin and eastern Sierra will take a northerly to northwesterly direction. Confidence remains high in reaching Wind Advisory criteria on Saturday in western San Bernardino County given an 80 to 90 percent probability of reaching gusts of at least 40 mph in the afternoon and evening. No changes appear necessary in the headline for that time period. However, models are coming to a consensus that strong northwesterly winds will develop across much of the rest of the area on Sunday afternoon and evening as stronger low pressure moves south. The NBM shows a 60 percent probability or greater of reaching Wind Advisory criteria for most locations, but ensembles are also showing strong indications of reaching High Wind Warning criteria (gusts 58+ mph) across southeastern California and southern Nevada. Between the ensemble guidance and the sharp, fast moving nature of the front, decided to issue a High Wind Watch for southeastern California and southern Nevada for Sunday afternoon and overnight. Besides winds, this system will bring noticeably cooler temperatures as highs decrease 15 to 20 degrees between today and Monday. Highs will be around 10 degrees below normal for mid-May, which means highs in the upper 70s in Las Vegas. There is also a 20 to 50 percent chance for precipitation in northern Lincoln County on Sunday evening as the low moves in, but given a lack of substantial moisture, any totals should be light. Temperatures gradually increase Tuesday onward as high pressure rebuilds over the region. && .AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Light winds under 8KT following typical wind directions are expected through late morning before turning southerly and becoming breezy with gusts to 20 knots after 20Z. Gustiness will decrease after sunset, although winds will remain elevated through the night. VFR conditions under mainly clear skies are expected through Saturday morning before high clouds with bases AOA 20kft AGL spread into the area Saturday afternoon. Temperatures may briefly touch 100 degrees between 22Z and 00Z this afternoon. Looking ahead, breezy southwest winds with gusts over 25 knots are expected Saturday afternoon, followed by the potential for strong winds Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. Current guidance indicates around a 40 percent chance of gusts exceeding 40 knots at Harry Reid after 20Z Sunday. For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast California...For the 18Z Forecast Package...Moderate westerly winds will continue at KDAG into mid-afternoon before increasing, with gusts to 30 knots expected after 22Z. Elsewhere, south to southwest winds will increase through the afternoon, with most areas experiencing gusts in the 15 to 25 knot range. The exception will be at KBIH, where north winds gusting to 20 knots are expected this afternoon. Winds across the region will diminish around sunset except at KDAG, where gusty winds will persist through the night. Lighter winds will develop overnight and continue into Saturday morning before increasing once again Saturday afternoon. Widespread gusty northerly winds in excess of 40 knots are possible across the northern two-thirds of the region Sunday afternoon and evening. && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating procedures. && $$ DISCUSSION...Meltzer AVIATION...Planz For more forecast information...see us on our webpage: https://weather.gov/lasvegas or follow us on Facebook and Twitter ####018011667#### FXUS63 KGID 151809 AFDGID Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 109 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - A few (potentially severe) storms will be possible Friday afternoon to early evening across a few locations east of HWY-281. The main hazards will be hail up to the side of ping pong balls and thunderstorm wind gusts near 60 MPH. - Generally greater coverage of strong to severe storms will come both Saturday and Sunday nights. Hail up to the size of golf balls with damaging thunderstorm wind gusts up to 70 MPH may be possible within the strongest storms. An isolated tornado or two cant be ruled out. - Near-critical to critical fire weather concerns may arrive for a southwest portion of the area Sunday given strong southerly winds blowing near 20-30 MPH and gusting as high as 35-45 MPH. - Temperatures ahead of a cold frontal passage early next week will keep highs in the mid 80s and 90s (through Sunday) before temporarily dropping down to the 60s to 70s by Tuesday. A steady increase in highs will likely follow through the end of next week. && .UPDATE... Issued at 324 AM CDT Fri May 15 2026 Friday: Scorching hot temperatures with a few afternoon storms (possibly severe) mainly east of Highway-281. Storm chances will return each day this weekend across a portion of the area as the upper-level pattern turns more active. Beginning with a Central Plains approaching upper-level disturbance later tonight, surface pressure will fall in advance across much of central Kansas. A stationary front, setting up across central Kansas and southeast Nebraska today, will serve as the main lifting mechanism for afternoon storm development. Southerly winds on the east side of the surface low will pump up some moisture to much of eastern Kansas and eastern Nebraska, saturating the air mass east of the surface boundary. (low-to- mid 50s dewpoints). As a result, the best ingredients for severe thunderstorm development will be concentrated across the eastern half of the area (up to 1,000-1,5000J/kg of CAPE & 30-40kts of Bulk Shear). The best time frame for storm initiation along this boundary will occur between 5-8PM with storms quickly bubbling up along the stationary front as it meanders eastward during the rest of the afternoon and evening. As a result, the best potential for storms will fall across areas near and east of Highway-281. The probability of precipitation decreases sharply west of HWY-281. A slight risk of severe weather lies across an eastern portion of the area today (east of a line from Columbus to Aurora in Nebraska and down to Osborne in Kansas.) with a Marginal risk in place across the rest of our forecast area. The primary severe weather hazard this afternoon/evening will be large hail up to the size of ping pong balls and thunderstorm wind gusts up to near 60 MPH. Though a brief and more isolated tornado cant be completely ruled out of the window of uncertainty, the low-level shear environment appears to be more on the lower end of the spectrum (<150m^2s^2 of 0-1km SRH with CAPE <1,500J/kg & LCLs >2,000ft). Beyond the evening storms, highs today (90s) will tick slightly higher than the day before as mostly sunny skies will allow the sun to shine bright today. Light easterly winds (5-10 MPH) will provide little in terms of providing much heat relief. Somewhat conservative dewpoints (<60 degrees) will, however, help heat indices from exceeding the mid 90s today. The heat risk for the day will remain in the Minor/Moderate classifications (level 1&2 of 4). Saturday/Sunday: More widespread nighttime/overnight storm coverage (possibly severe) Storm chances will return for the full area late Saturday night. Troughing in the upper levels across the western U.S. will begin to bite into the Central Plains over the weekend, sending in a few shortwave disturbances through the area. Though a few isolated weaker storms could get started earlier in the day Saturday and ahead of the main overnight wave/storm cluster, the biggest severe threat for Saturday will be concentrated during a broad 7PM-6AM time frame as a messy cluster of storms in mixed stages of development sweep through the region. This cluster of storms will feed off of a modest amount of instability (2,000-3,500J/kg of CAPE), shear (30-40kts of Bulk Shear) and surging moisture ahead of a northward lifting warm front (mid 50s to low 60s dewpoints). As a result, strong to severe storms will be possible to develop across the full area (slight risk of severe weather outlook for all of our south central Nebraska areas and for the northern half of our north central Kansas areas). The broad window of possibility (7PM-6AM) comes as short-term model guidance looks to point at the possibility of a few rounds of thunderstorm activity taking shape across the night. The main severe weather hazards will be hail up to the size of golf balls and damaging thunderstorm wind gusts up to 70 MPH. A few tornadoes may also be possible given the potential for storms to choose more of a scattered/discrete convective mode (supercells). At this point in time, tornado parameters look to just meet baseline criteria rather than point towards a more higher end sort of event (more so one or two generally weaker tornadoes possible). A strengthening surface low across central Kansas/Nebraska Sunday will keep the modest instability (2,000-3,5000J/kg of CAPE) and increased moisture (50s to low 60s dewpoints) around for at least for one more day. In addition, the general troughing pattern west of the area will continue to move in closer to the Central Plains region. As a result, more thunderstorm activity will look to come again Sunday evening and night. The main uncertainty for where storms may initialize Sunday will be the north to south positioning of the surface low. The placement of the low will overall control where the fronts align and where the strongest lifting mechanisms will settle (cold front, warm front & dryline). Based on the latest trends, a more northward shift of the low hints at a further northward concentration of storm activity (best potential north of I-80). An enhanced risk of severe weather currently resides over all of south central Nebraska and far northern central Kansas with a slight risk covering the rest of our north central Kansas areas. Beyond the storm chances Saturday/Sunday nights, temperatures will likely fall a few degrees shy of today on Saturday (highs in the mid 80s to low 90s) with a few more clouds and slightly stronger east to southeast winds (10-15 MPH with gusts as high as 25MPH). Even stronger southerly winds will be possible Sunday afternoon for mainly the southeast 2/3rds of the area (20-30MPH with gusts as high as 35-45 MPH possible). Even despite the weekend moisture resurgence, near-critical to critical fire weather concerns could still be possible across a few southern portions of the area (driest conditions towards the southwest). Highs Sunday will spread the upper 80s and 90s (mid to upper 90s for locations south and east of the Tri-Cities). && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 234 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026 A weak inverted surface trough is working into south central Nebraska and north central Kansas late this afternoon. Moisture has increased slightly ahead of that feature with dewpoints near 50 degrees along Highway 24 in north central Kansas. High clouds spilling east have taken the top end off the temperatures today though it is still warm and above normal. To that end, there is some risk of an isolated storm, mainly across north central Kansas either side of 6 PM. However, shear is weak and warmer mid-level temperatures don't help. So, anything that does develop will be very limited in scope/coverage, and likely only marginally strong/severe at most. Higher-based wind producers would main hazard. Friday is well above normal again with highs in the lower 90s as the region catching much more sunshine that today, though less wind. Winds will shift late in the afternoon across northern areas as front sags south. That front has bit more push than today, and will have more low level moisture as well. Areas east and south of Hastings look like a more favored area for a stronger/severe storm with both hail and wind the primary factors. The window of opportunity is fairly small, probably about 4-5 pm to 8-9 pm before storms move east and the surface front retreats. The weekend is interesting from a weather standpoint, but also wrought with uncertainty. Most of the area is currently included in a slight to potentially enhanced risk of severe weather. The upper pattern is more favorable as a trough moves into the Rockies providing better dynamics and shear. Low level moisture will also increase though it could be a limiting factor at times, especially given the ground is so dry in some areas thanks to D3/D4 drought. While there are substantially higher rain...and there will be rain...it may not rain everywhere, nor is it a rain out. In fact, we are forecasting near 100 degree temperatures Sunday, and that doesn't exactly say lots of clouds/rain. Right now, the favored times for storms are Saturday night and Sunday night, while the days trend toward more dry. Saturday night seems to have the best potential for an organized line of storms or series of storms with severe potential. There is lots of uncertainty with this forecast and it is going to change with time so stay tuned. The other thing of interest, but also uncertainty, is the heat and potential fire weather concerns Sunday afternoon. Even with green up in some areas, the 100 degree heat potential would translate into extremely low relative humidity Sunday afternoon along with strong winds. However, if convection from the previous night/early morning areas occurs, it could alter the low level moisture/wind set up. Still 72 hours away, this is something to watch with time. FYI, the current high temperature forecast for Sunday would be record breaking for Grand Island and Hastings. On Monday, a strong front moves through and that could bring one final opportunity for more organized thunderstorms. After that, temperatures are much closer too or even below normal for the middle of next week. Rain chances will be retreating at the same time. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1254 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026 For KGRI/KEAR Airports: VFR conditions expected through the period. Expect limited cloud cover and light winds next several hours. May see a few t-storms develop along a weak boundary towards 00Z, mainly at GRI, but latest trends suggest storms could remain E/SE. Kept the PROB30 group in, for now, but decreased the overall time frame. Winds will turn to the NW/N behind this boundary, but still remain fairly light. Winds will turn to the E Sat AM and increase somewhat by mid to late morning. Storms will be increasingly likely towards the evening hours. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None. && $$ UPDATE...Stump DISCUSSION...Moritz AVIATION...Thies