####018003595#### FXUS64 KOHX 090334 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 934 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 929 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 - Warmer and breezy Tuesday and Wednesday. - Much colder air arriving by the weekend with lows possibly in the teens and highs mostly in the 30s. && .UPDATE... Issued at 929 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Current forecast is on track. Low clouds remain locked in over Middle Tennessee, as the boundary layer is nearly saturated up to ~900 mb. By tomorrow morning, we can expect to bottom out in the 20s areawide. However, the latest NBM suggests that maybe, just maybe, we can look forward to several hours of at least partial sunshine tomorrow, especially during the afternoon, as an axis of high pressure slides to our east and allows for some much-welcome return flow and somewhat warmer temperatures. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Tuesday) Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 A cloudy Monday is in store for middle Tennessee, with clouds thinning a bit into the evening but not totally going away. Temperatures will barely rise out of the 30s in most area today, with some along the plateau and the KY border never quite making it. Lows tonight will dip back into the 20s, with the Cumberland plateau getting as low as the low 20s. With another night of sub-freezing lows, freezing fog is on our radar as a possibility tonight if clouds clear in some areas. High pressure will build in through Wednesday morning, driving temperatures into the 50s for highs. The good news is the sun will be visible in the sky during the afternoon on Tuesday as clouds briefly clear. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 A trough is expected to dig south and bring more rain chances to Middle Tennessee. Precipitation amounts with this system have totally dried out in the guidance, and we are not expecting any QPF in the mid-state. One notable thing is an arctic air mass from close to the arctic circle will be behind another cold front that will move through at the end of the week. We're still refining exacts with how cold we will get, with guidance backing off on the extreme cold temperatures as of late. So while it may not get into the teens for lows, it will still be very cold at night, with expected lows in the low 20s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 507 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 MVFR cigs continue across the area, but are slowly eroding away from the northwest. CKV has returned to VFR with other terminals expected to return to VFR early Tuesday morning. Otherwise, light northerly winds will become southerly to southwesterly Tuesday morning, strengthening to around 10 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 27 51 40 56 / 0 0 10 0 Clarksville 26 50 40 54 / 0 0 10 0 Crossville 22 45 34 49 / 0 0 0 10 Columbia 26 49 38 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 24 46 36 51 / 0 0 10 10 Jamestown 23 46 35 49 / 0 0 10 10 Lawrenceburg 25 49 37 56 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 25 49 38 56 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 26 48 38 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ UPDATE.......Rose SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Clements