####018003610#### FXUS64 KOHX 090436 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1036 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1021 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 - Look for warmer temperatures and breezy conditions on Tuesday and Wednesday. - Colder air will arrive by the weekend, although expected temperatures won't be nearly as frigid as previously thought. - Rain chances through the weekend will be very low. There are somewhat better rain chances next weekend, but 7-day QPF values are less than 1/4" across all of Middle Tennessee && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday Night) Issued at 935 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 High pressure over the Great Lakes is the dominant feature affecting our weather this evening. A surface ridge situated to our west will shift eastward by tomorrow morning, and all indications are that we can expect a break in what has seemed like a perpetual overcast, particularly during the afternoon. Temperatures tomorrow and Wednesday will be several degrees warmer than what we have been experiencing as we pick up some much-needed return flow. A cold front is expected to sweep across Middle Tennessee on Wednesday, although rain chances are very low owing to a paucity of antecedent moisture. Still, temperatures will drop back down starting Wednesday night. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 935 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 A second cold front is poised to push across the region on Friday and Friday evening, and this one is going to be painful, as temperatures are likely to bottom out several degrees below seasonal norms this weekend (although not as frigid as what the NBM was suggesting 24 hours ago). Still, look for light rain to develop late Saturday, Saturday night and into Sunday. Obviously, we will have to monitor for possible wintry weather since temperatures will drop below freezing Sunday morning, with daytime highs on Sunday possibly not even making it out of the 30s. Slightly better rain chances look to impact Middle Tennessee early next week, along with warmer temperatures, although 7-day QPF values are rather anemic. While the 6-10 day outlook continues to favor below normal temperatures, the 8-14 day outlook suggests a warmer pattern for cold-weary Middle Tennessee. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1021 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 The 00Z sounding from OHX showed a nearly-saturated boundary layer up to ~900 mb, but even that seems to be thinning out as the clearing line continues to crawl eastward. So the terminals should scattered out (or at least go VFR) between now and 12Z, with VFR conditions prevailing tomorrow. Expect surface winds to increase from the SSW by midday as a ridge of high pressure shifts to our east and initiates some much-needed return flow. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 27 51 40 56 / 0 0 10 0 Clarksville 26 50 40 54 / 0 0 10 0 Crossville 22 45 34 49 / 0 0 0 10 Columbia 26 49 38 56 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 24 46 36 51 / 0 0 10 10 Jamestown 23 46 35 49 / 0 0 10 10 Lawrenceburg 25 49 37 56 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 25 49 38 56 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 26 48 38 54 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....Rose ####018007897#### FXUS63 KAPX 090436 AFDAPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 1136 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - South-southwest flow lake effect ramps up later this afternoon with widespread synoptic snow spreading across northern MI tonight into Tuesday. - Another system Tuesday night - Wednesday bringing accumulating snow to parts of the area. Additional lake effect snow likely in its wake Wednesday evening - Thursday. - Additional snow chances Friday into the weekend. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 216 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Pattern Synopsis/Forecast: Longwave troughing remains anchored over the eastern two-thirds of NOAM this afternoon. While surface high pressure sits overhead currently, attention is focused upstream on a wave currently making headway into the Dakotas. Attendant ~1008mb sfc low follows suit. This wave expected to be just on the other side of Lake Michigan by 12z Tuesday before crossing northern MI Tuesday morning/midday. Initial south-southwest flow lake effect expected to ramp up this afternoon/evening with synoptic snow arriving area-wide later tonight into Tuesday. Forecast Details: Initial SSW flow lake effect band beginning to materialize across central/northern Lake Michigan as of early this afternoon. Latest trends still supporting that to intensify and progress north into parts of western/central Mackinac County later this afternoon/early evening with locally intense snow continuing through the evening. This band may scrape parts of the far northwest lower shoreline through this time as well -- far western Benzie/Leelanau counties most susceptible to this. By later tonight into early Tuesday morning, synoptic snow expected to spread across the remainder of the forecast area with lake enhancement continuing near the Lake Michigan shoreline. This system a rather quick mover with the bulk of steadiest snow in the rear view mirror by midday Tuesday, though some lingering lake aided snow showers linger into the afternoon, especially in west/west-southwest flow favored areas. This should focus the most notable lingering snow showers across the tip of the mitt, perhaps enhanced locally near/around the Little Traverse Bay convergence zone and stretching inland to near I-75. With respect to accumulation and impacts, the heaviest snow is still expected across parts of western Mackinac County (perhaps stretching into western Chippewa as well) with 3-8 inches and highly localized amounts of 10-12+ inches not out of the question. A general 3-6 inches across Beaver Island and far northwest lower over sections of Leelanau, Benzie and Manistee counties. 2-4 inches anticipated over the broader Little Traverse Bay region, although some locally higher amounts can't be ruled out. Lesser amounts of 1-3 inches across the remainder of northern lower and east of I-75 in the U.P. Hazardous travel will be the result, most notably across parts of western Mackinac/Chippewa counties, Beaver Island, and into far northwest lower where snow-covered roads and low visibility may be exacerbated as times by blowing/drifting snow as a result of increasingly gusty winds of around 30 mph. Worst of these conditions may materialize along US-2 from Brevort and points west where southwest winds may gust locally higher this evening-tonight coinciding with the area of greatest snowfall. Not much of a break with another system hot on the heels of this one for Tuesday night - Wednesday, discussed in further detail below. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/... Issued at 216 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Active winter pattern continues for the week ahead with several periods to watch for potentially impactful snow. Tuesday night - Thursday: By Tuesday evening, low pressure is expected to be situated over western MN, quickly making eastward progress across WI overnight and into southern/central MI by Wednesday morning. More uncertainty with this system as ensemble spread remains a little wider than preferred, especially with respect to low pressure track and resultant swath of heaviest snow. Latest trends continue to support the highest probabilities for 4"+ of snow maximized over parts of northern lower, as high as 50-70% in spots. Plenty of Pacific moisture with this system. but still looks to have quite the warm advection response with it -- and non-zero chances for some rain to mix in, primarily near and south of the M- 55 corridor from Manistee to Saginaw Bay. That said, if strongest FGEN forcing can survive its trip into Michigan, a narrow band of locally heavier snow seems likely, although the most likely area for that to occur remains TBD. In the wake of this system, northwest flow lake effect snow shower should kick in Wednesday afternoon and likely continue in spots through Thursday. Additional accumulation and hazardous travel likely to continue across these snow belts. Friday into the weekend: Another wave set to cross the northern tier of the country on Friday with increasing potential for the core of an Arctic airmass to follow in its wake heading into the weekend. H8 temps progged as low as around -20C Saturday/Sunday. Longer range ENS trends favor increasing likelihood for a prolonged lake effect/enhanced event that'd favor the typical snowbelts with highs in the teens/low 20s and lows in the single digits across much of northern MI through this time frame. However, given such cold temperatures, potential for dendritic growth may be limited, resulting in smaller flake size and limit overall accumulation to an extent, but also yield lower visibilities. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1233 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Light winds become S to SSE through afternoon into the overnight, increasing to sustained 10-15kts, esp at MBL/TVC and eventually APN. LLWS around 1500ft, from the SW at 30-35kt; expect this to start mixing down as gusts in the morning with subtle wind shift to S/SSW behind subtle front. VFR cigs slowly decrease to MVFR this afternoon/evening and eventually IFR for most all sites, with worst conditions starting 5-9z for MBL/TVC/CIU and possibly PLN. IFR conditions make it into APN toward 12-15z. Expect lowering visbys with snow/blowing snow tonight as well which could drop categories quicker/more frequently than expected. Possible some fog/low stratus may try to develop overnight, esp at APN, and have hinted at this in TAFs. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 1136 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Period of IFR vsbys expected in -SHSN at all sites between very late tonight and early Tuesday afternoon. This will affect the area from w to e, with the shortest period of IFR conditions expected at APN. Otherwise mostly VFR until the snow arrives, and MVFR cigs after the snow ends. Southerly winds increase and become blustery tonight, veering sw/wsw during the day Tuesday. && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...Winter Weather Advisory until 4 PM EST Tuesday for MIZ020-025- 031-086-098. Winter Storm Warning until 10 AM EST Tuesday for MIZ095. Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for MIZ096. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for LHZ345>347. Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST Tuesday for LHZ348-349. Gale Warning until 7 AM EST Tuesday for LMZ323-341-342-344>346. Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST Tuesday for LSZ321-322. && $$ SHORT TERM...MJG LONG TERM...MJG AVIATION...JZ ####018010519#### FXUS66 KOTX 090437 AFDOTX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Spokane WA 837 PM PST Mon Dec 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Strong west to southwest winds tonight into early Tuesday morning may result in downed trees and power outages. - Heavy mountain rain will bring a risk for flooding in the Cascades and the Idaho Panhandle, especially in steep areas and near burn scars. && .UPDATE... The first atmospheric river is bringing steady rains to the Cascades and ID Panhandle as forecast. Based on radar trends, and the new 00z high resolution models, confidence is high that a significant rain shadow will persist across most of Central and Eastern Washington tonight with little to no precipitation from Omak south to Ephrata eastward to near the WA/ID border. This is due to strong downslope flow east of the Cascades. Thus made some adjustments to lower POP's for the rest of tonight across much of Central and Eastern WA. Besides heavy rain in the Cascades, which will be decreasing overnight as the atmospheric river begins to sag south, winds remain a concern. 00z model guidance has not changed much, with wind advisories in place for much of the region. Models continue to show very strong winds at 850mb of around 55-65 kts between 9 PM - 2 AM. Higher resolution model guidance continues to reflect these higher winds having a difficult time mixing down except in a localized basis. We have already had a few reports of small branches coming off trees in Spokane and near Plummer with 35-45 MPH wind gusts. Some downed trees and power outages are possible overnight as winds pick up more. High wind gusts (58 MPH or greater) are still expected to be isolated in coverage but something we will be keeping a close eye on through the evening hours. JW && .SYNOPSIS... An active weather pattern will impact the area through the week. A series of warm and wet weather systems will result in periods of heavy mountain rain, lowland rain, high mountain snow, and gusty winds. Widespread strong wind gusts are expected Monday night into Tuesday which may result in downed trees and power outages. && .DISCUSSION... STRONG LONG DURATION ATMOSPHERIC RIVER EVENT TO BRING POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING, ROCK/MUD SLIDES THROUGH THURSDAY, AS WELL AS GUSTY WINDS TONIGHT... Tonight through Thursday: The first wave of two separate AR events is ongoing today. A warm front has pushed through Eastern Washington and now into the Idaho Panhandle at 2:30 pm this afternoon. Precipitaiton intensity over much of the region has been light to moderate with heavier intensity being observed closer to the Cascade crest. Much of the precipitaiton for tonight will largely remain now at the Cascade crest and in the Idaho Panhandle. The Cascade crest will see an additional 1.5 to 3.0 inches and the Idaho Panhandle up to an additional quarter plus inches of precipitation. The higher terrain of the Panhandle will more likely see upwards of an additional half of an inch with mountains more likely to receive an additional inch or so. The main concern with the precipitation tonight that will largely fall as rain over the Cascades will be for rock/mud slides, especially so in steep terrain and near newer burn scars including the Pioneer above Stehekin, Sugarloaf, and Labor Mountain burn scars. A flood watch will remain in effect for Chelan County and we have actually extended this flood watch to include the next round of precipitation Tuesday through Thursday as well. A potentially more impactful hazard will be winds mixing down later this evening and overnight. Model guidance is in good agreement with strong winds aloft with 50-60 mph winds up around 2,000 feet above ground level. Where the uncertainty comes is how effectively will we be able to mix down these winds in the warm sector. Typically this is difficult to do to its fullest potential. The surface gradient isn't necessarily significant to the point of what we would expect to achieve high wind criteria (sustained speeds of 40+ mph and/or gusts 58+ mph). The GEFS is on the higher end when compared to the ECMWF Ensemble members. The GEFS is progged to have a MSLP of near 16 mb between Portland, OR and Glacier, MT, whereas the ECMWF ensemble mean is more around 12 mb. There is uncertainty with the potential for how strong winds may actually get. The HREF mean wind guidance is in line with what our forecast has been portraying with sustained winds in the 25-35 mph range across the Columbia Basin and gusts up to 50-55 mph. This is in the high end range for a wind advisory. It's entirely possible, if not probable, that we will see isolated spots that meet high wind criteria. An additional factor to consider is soils being fairly saturated and this may lead to more downed trees than what we typically would expect with winds of this magnitude. By Tuesday, we see the next AR move into the region, and this one will be similar in magnitude as today's and also be a bit longer in duration on the order of 36-48 hours. The peak of the AR event will be the first 24 hours Tuesday night through Wednesday, and then see precipitation rates come down a bit for the latter half Wednesday night into Thursday. However, this next round coming on the heels of a healthy amount of rain over the Cascades and Idaho Panhandle will be one to watch for hydrology related impacts. An area of concern in addition to Chelan county will be the headwaters across the Central Panhandle Mountains and drainages downstream. This includes the Coeur d'Alene River, St. Joe River, and, to a lesser extent, Paradise Creek. Rainfall with this next AR will range from around an inch to as much as 3+ inches in the Idaho Panhandle with heaviest amounts being across the Central Panhandle Mountains. Additional rainfall in combination with snowmelt is expected to result in rapid rises to rivers, small streams, and creeks. Minor flooding is forecast along the Coeur d'Alene River, and I wouldn't be surprised if the St. Joe River sees flooding impacts as well. A Flood Watch is in effect for Tuesday through Thursday. If you're in a low lying area, or along a stretch of the river, small stream, or creek take precautions to protect property for the potential of flooding. Steep terrain will also be prone to mud/rock slides as well. This second AR will continue to pound the Cascades with additional rain as well. We will have a good idea of how burn scars responded to the first round of rain tomorrow. Those traveling along Highway 97 over Blewett Pass should be advised that there may be some debris that comes out on the road with several days of soaking rain on the Labor Mountain burn scar. These AR events will mainly bring impacts due to rain and melting snow, but the cold front passage tonight will see snow levels lower that light snow will accumulate over Stevens Pass and Lookout Pass. Accumulations will be in the neighborhood of 1-3 inches. That will be the case at Stevens Pass on the back edge of the cold front tonight and then also a couple of inches or so expected as snow transitions back to rain with the second AR event. Thursday night through Monday: Weather turns more benign at the end of the week as a high pressure ridge builds over the eastern Pacific. The ridge looks transitory though and model guidance does indicate a frontal system pushing across over the weekend. However, the ridge will give a reprieve to the wet weather on Friday at least and allow levels on rivers and streams to decrease. Precipitation over the weekend won't be nearly of the scale as over the next few days. Temperatures remain mild with any snow remaining over the mountains. /SVH && .AVIATION... 00Z TAFs: The steady rain that has been impacting TAF sites through much of the day is on its way out. Rain will impact KCOE, KPUW, and KLWS for the next couple of hours before exiting to the east. Southwest winds will become the primary focus of the forecast this evening and into tomorrow morning with speeds 20-30kts and gusts 30-40kts. Low level shear is expected at times over the next couple of hours for KPUW and KEAT. .FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND/OR ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: High confidence for wind gusts greater than 40 kts from the southwest from Pullman to Spokane (KPUW/KGEG/KSFF/KCOE) and moderate confidence that wind gusts will increase to around 50 kts between 05-12Z. ----------------------- Confidence descriptors: Low - Less than a 30 percent chance Moderate - 30 to 70 percent chance High - Greater than a 70 percent chance For additional probabilistic information for NWS Spokane airports,please refer to the Aviation Dashboard on our webpage: https:/www.weather.gov/otx/avndashboard && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... Spokane 42 49 39 53 45 51 / 20 30 100 80 70 60 Coeur d'Alene 42 47 38 51 45 49 / 70 40 100 90 80 70 Pullman 44 49 41 54 47 52 / 80 80 100 90 80 80 Lewiston 50 55 46 60 54 57 / 30 80 100 80 70 60 Colville 35 45 32 47 35 46 / 20 10 100 70 60 50 Sandpoint 39 45 35 46 41 46 / 80 30 100 100 80 70 Kellogg 40 46 38 50 46 49 / 100 80 100 100 90 90 Moses Lake 42 49 41 57 44 55 / 10 50 90 50 40 40 Wenatchee 40 47 41 54 43 52 / 80 50 100 70 60 60 Omak 35 44 36 48 36 46 / 30 10 100 60 50 40 && .OTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WA...Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for Central Chelan County-Wenatchee Area-Western Chelan County. Wind Advisory until 7 AM PST Tuesday for Lower Garfield and Asotin Counties-Northeast Mountains-Spokane Area-Upper Columbia Basin-Washington Palouse. ID...Flood Watch through Thursday afternoon for Central Panhandle Mountains-Coeur d'Alene Area-Idaho Palouse-Northern Panhandle. Wind Advisory until 7 AM PST Tuesday for Central Panhandle Mountains-Coeur d'Alene Area-Idaho Palouse-Lewiston Area- Northern Panhandle. && $$ ####018009121#### FXUS63 KMKX 090437 AFDMKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 1037 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Light snow is expected tonight, with accumulations of a trace to half an inch most places and up to an inch towards Fond du Lac and Sheboygan. Patchy freezing drizzle is expected to develop after snow ends, continuing into the Tuesday morning commute before tapering off. - A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for Marquette and Columbia Counties eastward for expected snow of 2 to 5 inches and potential for a wintry mix to also develop and produce impacts to travel Tuesday night. South of this area, snow and wintry mix is also expected, but confidence in amounts is not as high. Advisories may be issued farther south as confidence increases. - Additional rounds of light snowfall are then possible Thursday afternoon through Friday, as well as on Saturday. - Below normal temperatures continue through next weekend, with wind chills as cold as -15 to -25 degrees Friday and Saturday night. && .UPDATE... Issued 1035 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Light snow has begun to overspread southern WI in a west to east manner, other than a ~1 hour delay in the transition from light snow to patchy freezing drizzle overnight (likely beginning after 2 AM CST, progressing southwest to northeast), the forecast remains largely on track with prior expectations. Roughly a dusting to half an inch of snow possible for much of the area, with half inch to 1 inch accumulations possible further north towards Sheboygan and Fond du Lac (due to the later arrival of the freezing drizzle transition), some locally higher totals to 2 inches cannot be ruled out for portions of east-central WI. As for the freezing drizzle, just a thin glaze of ice accretion if applicable. Sheppard && .SHORT TERM... Issued 404 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Tonight through Wednesday: On and off flurries have continued throughout the afternoon, but are finally showing some signs of progressing northeastward out of the area. Late tonight, a frontogenesis-driven band of snow will push through central Wisconsin, with more scattered snow showers across southern Wisconsin. Generally expecting trace to up to an inch of snow with this band, with the higher accumulations toward Fond du Lac and Sheboygan Counties. After the frontogenesis band moves eastward into Lake Michigan, lift continues as low pressure makes its closest approach and the mid levels (where the dendritic growth zone is located) dry out. Therefore, expecting a period of freezing drizzle to develop behind the snowfall. Expecting a trace of ice accretions across most regions, as any drizzle is expected to be patchy and light. Moisture in the low levels will exit west to east through the morning commute timeframe. Southwesterly winds will continue through Tuesday, with temperatures beginning to rise during the afternoon and evening hours as advection overtakes the diurnal temperatures. Still, expecting temperatures to remain around 32 degrees throughout the afternoon and evening as a strong clipper system approaches. The main concern with this clipper system remains the uncertainty in low placement on modeling. Ensembles generally agree that the low would traverse central to northern Wisconsin, bringing the heaviest snowfall across these regions. However, mesoscale models and the operational models are showing a strong southerly trend, bringing the low across southern Wisconsin and therefore bringing the heaviest snow across the I-90/I-94 corridor. This heaviest band is expected to bring 3 to 5 inches of snow, primarily during the Tuesday evening commute through the overnight hours. Meanwhile, areas to the south of the low track will see a mix of snow, rain and potentially some freezing rain. Even if air temperatures rise above freezing, ground temperatures are expected to remain below freezing, leading to slick spots on untreated surfaces when rain falls on them. A Winter Weather Advisory for snow and wintry mix has been issued for Marquette and Columbia Counties eastward from 6 PM CST Tuesday to 6 AM CST Wednesday. This is due to the highest confidence in travel impacts from both snow and wintry mix. Additional advisories may be issued farther south, including the I-94/I-90 corridor, as impacts become more clear. Low pressure pivots eastward into Wednesday morning, with a quick transition back to all snow, and plenty of dry air working in behind the system to create more of a snow shower set up than a steady snowfall concern. Northwesterly winds will also become gusty as the low occludes and a much colder Canadian airmass approaches from the northern Plains. Gusts around 30 mph are possible. MH && .LONG TERM... Issued 404 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Wednesday night through Monday: Brisk nwly sfc winds and any lingering snow showers will diminish Wed evening followed by a quiet Thu. The extended models maintain nwly flow aloft through the weekend with additional shortwave troughs to pass through the Great Lakes. The upper waves will become increasingly stronger, mainly bringing an impressive surge of arctic air into srn WI for the weekend, but also 40 percent chances for light snow centered around Fri. Wind chill temps of 15 below to 25 below zero are forecast for late Fri nt-Sat AM and again late Sat nt-Sun AM. Upper ridging and a sfc ridge may finally arrive on Sunday followed by another shortwave trough in nwly flow aloft for Mon, including 20-30 percent chances for light snow. Gehring && .AVIATION... Issued 1035 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 TAFs have been amended to reflect the latest precip arrival times and transitions. Generally speaking, a west to east arrival of light snow over the next few hours, followed by a transition to patchy freezing drizzle (SW to NE) beginning after 2 AM CST, gradually drying out in a west to east manner towards daybreak Tuesday. Through said period, breezy south to southwest winds at the surface, with faster winds aloft leading to some low level wind shear (2,000 ft winds southwest at 35 to 45 knots). Cloud ceilings gradually lower during the precip event, achieving IFR levels by mid Tuesday morning. Mostly dry weather late Tuesday morning through early Tuesday afternoon, with lingering low cloud ceilings (perhaps lifting towards Fuel Alt MVFR levels). Light west to southwest winds. A wintry mix arrives later Tuesday afternoon, overspreading the region into the evening and overnight, tapering into Wednesday. Cloud ceilings decline to IFR/LIFR as the event unfolds. Breezy winds veer from southwest to northwest. Sheppard && .MARINE... Issued 404 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Low pressure over northern North Dakota will deepen as it moves across Lake Superior on Tuesday. As a result, southwest gales are expected to develop for the north half of Lake MI tonight. The winds will then gradually weaken through the day on Tuesday as the low moves away. A much stronger low will then track from Minnesota across southern Lake MI and into lower MI Tuesday night. Southwest to westerly gales may develop ahead of the low over the south half of the lake Tuesday night, followed by the potential for northerly gales on Wednesday after the low passes. A Gale Watch is now in effect for the south half Tuesday night and Wednesday. The brisk winds will then gradually diminish Wednesday night. A period of northwesterly gales may then return Friday night into Saturday as a strong arctic front moves through the Great Lakes region. Heavy freezing spray may develop. In nearshore regions, expect conditions hazardous to small craft to develop tonight as southwesterly gusty winds develop. Winds and waves will briefly diminish before picking back up Tuesday night and continuing through Wednesday. A few gale force wind gusts are possible during this time. Concerns for gusty winds and elevated wave conditions return Friday into the weekend. Gehring/MH && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...Winter Weather Advisory...WIZ046-WIZ047-WIZ051-WIZ052-WIZ057- WIZ058-WIZ059-WIZ060...6 PM Tuesday to 6 AM Wednesday. LM...Gale Watch...LMZ080-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-LMZ777- LMZ779-LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878...9 PM Tuesday to 6 PM Wednesday. Gale Warning...LMZ261-LMZ362-LMZ364-LMZ366-LMZ563-LMZ565- LMZ567-LMZ868 until 6 AM Tuesday. Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until noon Tuesday. && $$ Visit us at weather.gov/milwaukee Follow us on Facebook, X, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSMilwaukee www.x.com/NWSMilwaukee www.youtube.com/NWSMilwaukee